Non League Premier - Southern South predictions
England · 12th tier · 22 teams · table updated 3 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Non League Premier - Southern South match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Non League Premier - Southern South in the Bet Finder.
This week's Non League Premier - Southern South fixtures
- 7 Oct · 19:45Gosport BoroughvPoole TownNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Basingstoke TownvMalvern TownNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Bath CityvGosport BoroughNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Chertsey TownvChippenham TownNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Chichester CityvPlymouth ParkwayNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Frome TownvSholingNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Hanworth VillavGloucester CityNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Poole TownvBracknell TownNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Taunton TownvHanwell TownNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00UxbridgevEvesham UnitedNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Wimborne TownvHavant & WvilleNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Yate TownvBerkhamstedNo pick yet
Non League Premier - Southern South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 14 | |
| 7 |  Frome Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Evesham United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10 |  Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 |  Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 | |
| 12 |  Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 13 |  Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Yate Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 | |
| 15 |  Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 | |
| 16 |  Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | |
| 20 |  Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 | |
| 21 |  Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 | |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
Official Non League Premier - Southern South table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-03.
This season in numbers
The model's Non League Premier - Southern South record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 61.2% | 42.9% | -18.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 81.5% | 66.7% | -14.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 29 | 61.2% | 58.6% | -2.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 2 | 64.6% | 50.0% | -14.6 |
Settled Non League Premier - Southern South matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Non League Premier - Southern South results
- 3 Oct · 15:00Yate Town3-3Frome TownNo pick
- 3 Oct · 15:00Poole Town3-1Evesham UnitedNo pick
- 30 Sept · 19:45Gosport Borough1-1Bracknell TownOver 2.5✗
- 30 Sept · 19:45Frome Town2-2Taunton TownNo pick
- 29 Sept · 19:45Uxbridge2-1Basingstoke TownNo pick
- 29 Sept · 19:45Sholing2-0BerkhamstedNo pick
- 29 Sept · 19:45Havant & Wville1-1Hanwell TownOver 2.5✗
- 29 Sept · 19:45Hanworth Villa2-1Chichester CityNo pick
- 29 Sept · 19:45Gloucester City1-1Plymouth ParkwayHome or Draw✓
- 29 Sept · 19:45Evesham United2-0Chippenham TownNo pick
About Non League Premier - Southern South
Non League Premier - Southern South is the 12th tier of England football with 22 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.08 goals per game over 98 matches: both teams scored in 60%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 49% with 23% drawn. Plymouth Parkway lead the table on 20 points from 9 games.
How the model handles Non League Premier - Southern South
Every Non League Premier - Southern South fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 44 Non League Premier - Southern South tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.1% on average and landing 56.8%. Its best-calibrated Non League Premier - Southern South market so far is over 2.5 (61.2% claimed against 58.6% hit over 29 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Non League Premier - Southern South predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Non League Premier - Southern South table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Non League Premier - Southern South market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Non League Premier - Southern South tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.2% claimed against 58.6% hit over 29 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Non League Premier - Southern South fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Non League Premier - Southern South by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.