One slip, daily · Last 30 days
The track record.
Every Long Shot Merchants slip of the day from the last 30 days. Every prediction, every result, every market we publish — backed by calibrated probabilities, not vibes.
Slips
30
0 pending
Won / Lost
10 / 20
Win rate
33.3%
of resulted slips
Return
-5.01u
1u per slip
Avg combined odds
2.49
Current streak
L7
losing
Longest win streak
W3
Longest losing run
L7
Cumulative return (1u per slip)-4.01u
Slip history
| Date | Selections | Combined odds | Selections correct | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 3 | 2.70 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-10-02 | 3 | 2.43 | 0/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 | 2.51 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-30 | 3 | 2.45 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-29 | 3 | 2.45 | 0/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-28 | 3 | 2.43 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | 2.42 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-26 | 3 | 2.42 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-25 | 3 | 2.60 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-24 | 3 | 2.61 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-23 | 3 | 2.45 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-22 | 3 | 2.48 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-21 | 3 | 2.58 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-20 | 3 | 2.40 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | 2.43 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-18 | 3 | 2.46 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-17 | 3 | 2.62 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-16 | 3 | 2.49 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-15 | 3 | 2.45 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-14 | 3 | 2.43 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 2.41 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | 2.40 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-11 | 3 | 2.45 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-10 | 3 | 1.68 | 1/2 | Lost · partial | |
| 2026-09-09 | 3 | 2.41 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-08 | 3 | 2.91 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-07 | 3 | 2.91 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-06 | 3 | 2.64 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-09-05 | 3 | 2.30 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-09-04 | 3 | 2.64 | 2/3 | Lost |
Per-market track record (last 90 days)
BTTSn=993
61.4%model said 60.8%
+0.6pp vs model
Home Winn=1095
65.8%model said 65.0%
+0.8pp vs model
Home or Drawn=1317
84.0%model said 84.0%
+0.0pp vs model
Away Winn=368
64.4%model said 59.8%
+4.6pp vs model
Away or Drawn=359
84.4%model said 80.3%
+4.1pp vs model
Over 2.5n=130
66.2%model said 74.3%
-8.1pp vs model
Hit rate = % of fixtures published above the threshold that landed. Model said = average predicted probability across those fixtures. A small gap between the two means the calibration is honest.
Track records reflect resulted matches only — pending predictions are excluded from win rate and return but counted in the slip total. See the methodology page for how probabilities are calibrated.