One slip, daily · Last 30 days
The track record.
Every Long Shot Merchants slip of the day from the last 30 days. Every prediction, every result, every market we publish — backed by calibrated probabilities, not vibes.
Slips
30
1 pending
Won / Lost
12 / 17
Win rate
41.4%
of resulted slips
Return
+3.89u
1u per slip
Avg combined odds
2.78
Current streak
L1
losing
Longest win streak
W3
Longest losing run
L4
Cumulative return (1u per slip)+4.89u
Slip history
| Date | Selections | Combined odds | Selections correct | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | 3 | 2.59 | 2/3 | Pending | |
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 3.05 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-13 | 3 | 1.89 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-07-12 | 3 | 3.15 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-11 | 3 | 3.85 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-07-10 | 3 | 5.67 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-09 | 3 | 2.39 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-08 | 3 | 5.20 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-07 | 3 | 1.58 | 2/2 | Won · partial | |
| 2026-07-06 | 1 | 1.17 | 0/1 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-05 | 3 | 2.65 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-04 | 3 | 2.13 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-03 | 3 | 2.66 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-07-02 | 3 | 2.49 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 | 2.15 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-30 | 3 | 3.24 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-29 | 3 | 1.93 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-28 | 3 | 3.17 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-27 | 3 | 2.57 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-26 | 2 | 2.30 | 1/2 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-25 | 3 | 2.51 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-24 | 3 | 1.39 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-23 | 3 | 1.48 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-22 | 3 | 4.48 | 2/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-21 | 3 | 2.65 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-20 | 3 | 1.72 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-19 | 3 | 6.75 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-18 | 3 | 2.03 | 3/3 | Won | |
| 2026-06-17 | 3 | 1.69 | 1/3 | Lost | |
| 2026-06-16 | 3 | 2.76 | 2/3 | Lost |
Per-market track record (last 90 days)
BTTSn=258
64.0%model said 60.6%
+3.4pp vs model
Home Winn=332
69.3%model said 69.8%
-0.5pp vs model
Home or Drawn=259
85.7%model said 87.0%
-1.3pp vs model
Away Winn=181
66.9%model said 61.2%
+5.7pp vs model
Away or Drawn=337
82.2%model said 78.2%
+4.0pp vs model
Over 2.5n=155
71.0%model said 72.2%
-1.2pp vs model
Hit rate = % of fixtures published above the threshold that landed. Model said = average predicted probability across those fixtures. A small gap between the two means the calibration is honest.
Track records reflect resulted matches only — pending predictions are excluded from win rate and return but counted in the slip total. See the methodology page for how probabilities are calibrated.