Serie D - Girone A predictions
Italy · fifth tier · 18 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D - Girone A match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D - Girone A in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D - Girone A fixtures
- 4 Oct · 14:00BiellesevGozzanoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00BorgosesiavSestri LevanteAway or DrawModerate
- 4 Oct · 14:00Celle VarazzevChisolaNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00DerthonavAlessandriaDrawSolid
- 4 Oct · 14:00FezzanesevValenzanaNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00LigornavSaluzzoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00SanremesevBraNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00AstivMillesimoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 14:00LascarisvImperiaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00AlessandriavFezzaneseNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00BravSaluzzoNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00ChisolavDerthonaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00GozzanovLigornaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00ImperiavBielleseNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00Sestri LevantevCelle VarazzeNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00ValenzanavSanremeseNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00AstivLascarisNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00MillesimovBorgosesiaNo pick yet
Serie D - Girone A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 2 |  Biellese | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 11 | |
| 3 |  Derthona | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 | |
| 4 |  Gozzano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Saluzzo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Imperia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Asti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Ligorna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Lascaris | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Fezzanese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 12 |  Borgosesia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Chisola | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Sanremese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Sestri Levante | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Bra | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 | |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
- Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
- Relegation
Official Serie D - Girone A table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D - Girone A record
Not enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Serie D - Girone A results
- 30 Sept · 15:00Chisola2-2BorgosesiaHome or Draw✓
- 30 Sept · 14:00Alessandria2-1ImperiaDraw✗
- 27 Sept · 14:00Millesimo2-0LascarisNo pick
- 27 Sept · 14:00Valenzana1-2BorgosesiaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 14:00Sestri Levante1-2BielleseNo pick
- 27 Sept · 14:00Saluzzo0-0DerthonaDraw✓
- 27 Sept · 14:00Imperia2-0FezzaneseDraw✗
- 27 Sept · 14:00Gozzano2-1SanremeseAway or Draw✗
- 27 Sept · 14:00Chisola1-2LigornaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 14:00Alessandria2-0AstiDraw✗
About Serie D - Girone A
Serie D - Girone A is the fifth tier of Italy football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.32 goals per game over 44 matches: both teams scored in 52%, 41% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 30% drawn. Alessandria lead the table on 12 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Serie D - Girone A
Every Serie D - Girone A fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D - Girone A predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D - Girone A table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D - Girone A fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D - Girone A by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.