Serie A Women predictions
Italy · fourth tier · 12 teams · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie A Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie A Women in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie A Women fixtures
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Como 1907 W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 2 |  Roma W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 3 |  Juventus W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 |  Inter Milano W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 5 |  Como W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Lazio W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 |  Parma W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 |  Ternana W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Napoli W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Sassuolo W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Fiorentina W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 12 |  AC Milan W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Official Serie A Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie A Women record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 74.3% | 100.0% | +25.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 1 | 89.4% | 100.0% | +10.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 63.6% | 100.0% | +36.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 80.0% | 100.0% | +20.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 63.6% | 100.0% | +36.4 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie A Women matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie A Women results
- 27 Sept · 14:00Sassuolo W1-3Roma WAway or Draw✓
- 27 Sept · 12:00Inter Milano W2-0Fiorentina WNo pick
- 27 Sept · 11:30Ternana W1-2Como WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 17:00Como 1907 W4-1AC Milan WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 14:00Lazio W0-0Parma WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 11:30Juventus W3-1Napoli WHome or Draw✓
- 17 May · 17:00Parma W1-3Juventus WAway or Draw✓
- 17 May · 17:00Fiorentina W2-1Lazio WOver 2.5✓
- 17 May · 14:00Ternana W1-0AC Milan WNo pick
- 17 May · 14:00Napoli W1-1Sassuolo WAway or Draw✓
About Serie A Women
Serie A Women is the fourth tier of Italy football with 12 teams. The 2025/26 season has produced 2.61 goals per game over 132 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 50% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 26% drawn. Como 1907 W lead the table on 3 points from 1 game.
How the model handles Serie A Women
Every Serie A Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 6 Serie A Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.4% on average and landing 100.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie A Women predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie A Women table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie A Women market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie A Women tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie A Women fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie A Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.