How are these Serie C - Girone A predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Serie C - Girone A table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

Which Serie C - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?

There are not yet enough settled Serie C - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.

How far ahead are Serie C - Girone A fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Serie C - Girone A predictions

Italy · third tier · 20 teams · table updated 1 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Serie C - Girone A match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie C - Girone A in the Bet Finder.

This week's Serie C - Girone A fixtures

Serie C - Girone A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	7	7	0	0	13	2	+11	21
2	Union Brescia	7	4	3	0	12	4	+8	15
3	Ospitaletto	7	4	2	1	13	5	+8	14
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	7	4	1	2	10	7	+3	13
5	Trento	7	3	4	0	9	3	+6	13
6	Treviso	7	3	3	1	8	6	+2	12
7	Alcione	7	2	4	1	10	11	-1	10
8	Dolomiti Bellunesi	7	2	4	1	6	5	+1	10
9	Albinoleffe	7	2	3	2	10	9	+1	9
10	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2	8
11	Lecco	7	2	2	3	4	6	-2	8
12	Desenzano Calvina	7	1	4	2	4	6	-2	7
13	Pergolettese	7	1	4	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Athletic Carpi	7	1	3	3	10	15	-5	6
15	Folgore Caratese	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2	6
16	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7	13	-6	6
17	Novara	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
18	PRO Vercelli	7	1	3	3	6	11	-5	6
19	Giana Erminio	7	0	3	4	6	10	-4	3
20	Renate	7	0	2	5	5	11	-6	2

Promotion - Serie B
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16-finals)
Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32-finals)
Serie C - Play Out
Relegation

Official Serie C - Girone A table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.

This season in numbers

2.23

goals per game (71 matches)

49%

both teams scored

47%

over 2.5 goals

62%

over 1.5 goals

23%

over 3.5 goals

30%

home wins

39%

draws

31%

away wins

The model's Serie C - Girone A record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	1	59.8%	0.0%	-59.8
Home or draw≥ 80%	3	81.0%	33.3%	-47.7
Away win≥ 50%	0	—	—	—
Away or draw≥ 73%	0	—	—	—
Over 2.5≥ 57%	1	61.9%	0.0%	-61.9
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Serie C - Girone A matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Serie C - Girone A results

About Serie C - Girone A

Serie C - Girone A is the third tier of Italy football with 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.23 goals per game over 71 matches: both teams scored in 49%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 30% with 39% drawn. Cittadella lead the table on 21 points from 7 games.

How the model handles Serie C - Girone A

Every Serie C - Girone A fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 5 Serie C - Girone A tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.9% on average and landing 20.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Serie C - Girone A predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Serie C - Girone A table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Serie C - Girone A market is the model most reliable in?: There are not yet enough settled Serie C - Girone A tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
How far ahead are Serie C - Girone A fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie C - Girone A by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.