Serie C - Girone C predictions
Italy · 17th tier · 20 teams · table updated 2 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie C - Girone C match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie C - Girone C in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie C - Girone C fixtures
- 4 Oct · 13:30CosenzavFoggiaNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 19:30Audace CerignolavTeam AltamuraNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 19:30PotenzavAZ PicernoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 19:30SalernitanavBariNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:30BarivGiuglianoNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:30CasertanavSS MonopoliNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:30CrotonevAudace CerignolaNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:30SavoiavInter U23No pick yet
- 11 Oct · 11:30Team AltamuravCataniaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 13:30FoggiavPotenzaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 13:30ScafatesevSorrentoNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00CasaranovSalernitanaNo pick yet
Serie C - Girone C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Bari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Sorrento | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 15 | |
| 4 |  AZ Picerno | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Casertana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Audace Cerignola | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Catania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 | |
| 10 |  Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Casarano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Salernitana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Foggia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Cavese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 15 |  Barletta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Team Altamura | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Savoia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | |
| 18 |  Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 4 | |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 | |
| 20 |  Crotone | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 0(-6) |
- Promotion - Serie B
- Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter-finals)
- Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8-finals)
- Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16-finals)
- Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32-finals)
- Serie C - Play Out
- Relegation
Official Serie C - Girone C table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Crotone · updated 2026-10-02.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie C - Girone C record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 81.9% | 80.0% | -1.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 0.0% | -58.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Serie C - Girone C matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Serie C - Girone C results
- 3 Oct · 19:30Catania2-1CrotoneNo pick
- 3 Oct · 16:30SS Monopoli0-0SavoiaNo pick
- 3 Oct · 16:30Giugliano1-0BarlettaNo pick
- 3 Oct · 13:30Sorrento2-0CasaranoNo pick
- 3 Oct · 13:30Cavese2-0CasertanaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 19:30Foggia2-0SorrentoNo pick
- 27 Sept · 19:30Casarano0-1SS MonopoliNo pick
- 27 Sept · 16:30Scafatese2-0Team AltamuraNo pick
- 27 Sept · 11:30Casertana1-2CataniaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 11:30Barletta1-4PotenzaNo pick
About Serie C - Girone C
Serie C - Girone C is the 17th tier of Italy football with 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.78 goals per game over 74 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 50% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 49% with 26% drawn. Potenza lead the table on 16 points from 7 games. Crotone (-6) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Serie C - Girone C
Every Serie C - Girone C fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 6 Serie C - Girone C tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 78.0% on average and landing 66.7%. Its best-calibrated Serie C - Girone C market so far is home or draw (81.9% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie C - Girone C predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie C - Girone C table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie C - Girone C market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Serie C - Girone C tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 81.9% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Serie C - Girone C fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie C - Girone C by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.