Regionalliga - Sudwest predictions
Germany · eighth tier · 18 teams · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Regionalliga - Sudwest match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Regionalliga - Sudwest in the Bet Finder.
This week's Regionalliga - Sudwest fixtures
- 9 Oct · 18:00Kickers OffenbachvFC 08 HomburgNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00FSV FrankfurtvSV SandhausenNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vVfR AalenNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00Kaiserslautern IIvHessen KasselNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00TSV SteinbachvEintracht TrierNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00SSV Ulm 1846vEintracht Frankfurt IINo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00VfR MannheimvStuttgarter KickersNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00FC Astoria WalldorfvFSV Mainz 05 IINo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 13:00Freiburg IIvSGV FreibergNo pick yet
Regionalliga - Sudwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SGV Freiberg | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Kickers Offenbach | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Eintracht Trier | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 16 | |
| 5 |  VfR Aalen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 |  VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | |
| 7 |  FC 08 Homburg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Freiburg II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 13 | |
| 9 |  FSV Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 12 | |
| 10 |  TSV Steinbach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 | |
| 11 |  SV Sandhausen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Hessen Kassel | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 |  FSV Mainz 05 II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Kaiserslautern II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 8 | |
| 16 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 | |
| 18 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 4 |
- Promotion - 3. Liga
- Relegation
Official Regionalliga - Sudwest table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's Regionalliga - Sudwest record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 5 | 60.3% | 40.0% | -20.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 81.5% | 60.0% | -21.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 25 | 60.9% | 68.0% | +7.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 4 | 63.7% | 0.0% | -63.7 |
Settled Regionalliga - Sudwest matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Regionalliga - Sudwest results
- 2 Oct · 18:00Stuttgarter Kickers2-0Kickers OffenbachBTTS✗
- 2 Oct · 18:00SV Sandhausen1-1Kaiserslautern IINo pick
- 26 Sept · 13:00VfR Mannheim5-1Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.No pick
- 26 Sept · 13:00SSV Ulm 18460-1Eintracht TrierBTTS✗
- 26 Sept · 13:00TSV Steinbach1-0FC 08 HomburgBTTS✗
- 26 Sept · 13:00Kickers Offenbach1-3VfR AalenHome or Draw✗
- 26 Sept · 13:00Hessen Kassel1-2FSV Mainz 05 IINo pick
- 26 Sept · 13:00SGV Freiberg2-2Stuttgarter KickersNo pick
- 25 Sept · 18:00FC Astoria Walldorf1-2SV SandhausenNo pick
- 19 Sept · 13:00FC Astoria Walldorf2-3VfR MannheimNo pick
About Regionalliga - Sudwest
Regionalliga - Sudwest is the eighth tier of Germany football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.07 goals per game over 81 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 65% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 28% drawn. SGV Freiberg lead the table on 19 points from 9 games.
How the model handles Regionalliga - Sudwest
Every Regionalliga - Sudwest fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 39 Regionalliga - Sudwest tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.8% on average and landing 56.4%. Its best-calibrated Regionalliga - Sudwest market so far is over 2.5 (60.9% claimed against 68.0% hit over 25 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Regionalliga - Sudwest predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Regionalliga - Sudwest table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Regionalliga - Sudwest market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Regionalliga - Sudwest tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 60.9% claimed against 68.0% hit over 25 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Regionalliga - Sudwest fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Regionalliga - Sudwest by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.