Frauen Bundesliga predictions
Germany · fourth tier · 14 teams · table updated 2 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Frauen Bundesliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Frauen Bundesliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Frauen Bundesliga fixtures
Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | |
| 6 |  FC Koln W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Stuttgart W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 8 |  SC Freiburg W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 5 | |
| 10 |  RB Leipzig W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Union Berlin W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | |
| 13 |  Nürnberg W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 | |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 0 |
- Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women
Official Frauen Bundesliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-02.
This season in numbers
The model's Frauen Bundesliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 9 | 72.9% | 77.8% | +4.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 7 | 88.3% | 85.7% | -2.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 9 | 61.6% | 77.8% | +16.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 9 | 79.2% | 77.8% | -1.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 22 | 66.2% | 68.2% | +2.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 64.6% | 100.0% | +35.4 |
Settled Frauen Bundesliga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Frauen Bundesliga results
- 3 Oct · 15:00FC Koln W0-1SC Freiburg WNo pick
- 3 Oct · 13:00RB Leipzig W5-0Mainz 05 WOver 2.5✓
- 2 Oct · 17:30Bayer Leverkusen W3-2Werder Bremen WNo pick
- 21 Sept · 17:00Werder Bremen W1-1Stuttgart WNo pick
- 20 Sept · 17:30Union Berlin W3-2RB Leipzig WNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:00SC Freiburg W1-2Bayer Leverkusen WNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00Hamburger SV W5-1Nürnberg WNo pick
- 19 Sept · 13:00Bayern Munich W5-2FC Koln WHome or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 17:30Mainz 05 W2-3Eintracht Frankfurt WAway or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 17:301899 Hoffenheim W2-1VfL Wolfsburg WBTTS✓
About Frauen Bundesliga
Frauen Bundesliga is the fourth tier of Germany football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.47 goals per game over 38 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 63% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 13% drawn. Bayern Munich W lead the table on 15 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Frauen Bundesliga
Every Frauen Bundesliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 57 Frauen Bundesliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.3% on average and landing 75.5%. Its best-calibrated Frauen Bundesliga market so far is away or draw (79.2% claimed against 77.8% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Frauen Bundesliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Frauen Bundesliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Frauen Bundesliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Frauen Bundesliga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 79.2% claimed against 77.8% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Frauen Bundesliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Frauen Bundesliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.