2. Bundesliga predictions
Germany · second tier · 18 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Bundesliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Bundesliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Bundesliga fixtures
- 10 Oct · 12:30VfL BochumvArminia BielefeldNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30Eintracht BraunschweigvHolstein KielNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30SV Darmstadt 98vEnergie CottbusNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:301. FC Heidenheimv1. FC KaiserslauternNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30Hertha BSCvSpVgg Greuther FürthNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:301. FC MagdeburgvHannover 96No pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:301. FC NürnbergvVfL WolfsburgNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30FC St. PaulivKarlsruher SCNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30VfL OsnabrückvDynamo DresdenNo pick yet
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 18 | |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 16 | |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 11 | |
| 5 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 6 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 8 | |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official 2. Bundesliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Bundesliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 63.1% | 0.0% | -63.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 82.4% | 50.0% | -32.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 20 | 59.7% | 60.0% | +0.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 64.6% | 0.0% | -64.6 |
Settled 2. Bundesliga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Bundesliga results
- 20 Sept · 12:30Hannover 962-1VfL BochumHome or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 12:30Energie Cottbus1-1FC St. PauliOver 2.5✗
- 20 Sept · 12:30Arminia Bielefeld2-21. FC HeidenheimNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:30Dynamo Dresden1-2Hertha BSCNo pick
- 19 Sept · 12:00Karlsruher SC0-11. FC NürnbergOver 2.5✗
- 19 Sept · 12:001. FC Kaiserslautern1-0Eintracht BraunschweigOver 2.5✗
- 19 Sept · 12:00Holstein Kiel1-1VfL OsnabrückOver 2.5✗
- 18 Sept · 17:30VfL Wolfsburg5-1SV Darmstadt 98Over 2.5✓
- 18 Sept · 17:30SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-11. FC MagdeburgOver 2.5✗
- 13 Sept · 12:30VfL Osnabrück1-3Hertha BSCNo pick
About 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga is the second tier of Germany football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.31 goals per game over 54 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 65% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 28% drawn. Hertha BSC lead the table on 18 points from 6 games.
How the model handles 2. Bundesliga
Every 2. Bundesliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 26 2. Bundesliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.5% on average and landing 53.8%. Its best-calibrated 2. Bundesliga market so far is over 2.5 (59.7% claimed against 60.0% hit over 20 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Bundesliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Bundesliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Bundesliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Bundesliga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.7% claimed against 60.0% hit over 20 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Bundesliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Bundesliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.