How are these Primera B Metropolitana predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Primera B Metropolitana table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

How far ahead are Primera B Metropolitana fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Primera B Metropolitana predictions

Argentina · third tier · 22 teams · table updated 2 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Primera B Metropolitana match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera B Metropolitana in the Bet Finder.

This week's Primera B Metropolitana fixtures

Primera B Metropolitana table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	37	22	8	7	59	29	+30	74
2	Arsenal Sarandi	37	19	12	6	50	24	+26	69
3	Talleres Remedios	37	19	10	8	40	21	+19	67
4	Villa Dalmine	37	17	13	7	38	21	+17	64
5	Deportivo Camioneros	37	17	12	8	42	27	+15	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	37	17	11	9	43	28	+15	62
7	Real Pilar	37	16	10	11	40	38	+2	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	37	16	9	12	39	38	+1	57
9	Comunicaciones	37	14	12	11	38	33	+5	54
10	Deportivo Laferrere	37	12	12	13	44	49	-5	48
11	Dock Sud	37	11	14	12	40	39	+1	47
12	San Martín Burzaco	37	11	14	12	37	40	-3	47
13	Villa San Carlos	37	10	14	13	36	39	-3	44
14	Argentino de Merlo	37	11	11	15	32	37	-5	44
15	Deportivo Merlo	37	10	13	14	36	51	-15	43
16	Argentino Quilmes	37	9	15	13	29	36	-7	42
17	Defensores Unidos	37	9	13	15	32	38	-6	40
18	Liniers	37	9	13	15	30	39	-9	40
19	Brown DE Adrogue	37	8	14	15	24	37	-13	38
20	Flandria	37	10	8	19	33	47	-14	38
21	UAI Urquiza	37	4	20	13	18	33	-15	32
22	Ituzaingó	37	1	12	24	23	59	-36	15

Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)

Official Primera B Metropolitana table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-02.

This season in numbers

1.97

goals per game (407 matches)

40%

both teams scored

32%

over 2.5 goals

61%

over 1.5 goals

14%

over 3.5 goals

37%

home wins

33%

draws

30%

away wins

The model's Primera B Metropolitana record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	3	59.8%	66.7%	+6.9
Home or draw≥ 80%	12	82.5%	91.7%	+9.2
Away win≥ 50%	1	56.0%	100.0%	+44.0
Away or draw≥ 73%	1	78.5%	100.0%	+21.5
Over 2.5≥ 57%	0	—	—	—
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Primera B Metropolitana matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Primera B Metropolitana results

About Primera B Metropolitana

Primera B Metropolitana is the third tier of Argentina football with 22 teams. The 2026 season has produced 1.97 goals per game over 407 matches: both teams scored in 40%, 32% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 33% drawn. Excursionistas lead the table on 74 points from 37 games.

How the model handles Primera B Metropolitana

Every Primera B Metropolitana fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 17 Primera B Metropolitana tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 76.7% on average and landing 88.3%. Its best-calibrated Primera B Metropolitana market so far is home or draw (82.5% claimed against 91.7% hit over 12 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Primera B Metropolitana predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Primera B Metropolitana table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Primera B Metropolitana market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Primera B Metropolitana tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.5% claimed against 91.7% hit over 12 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Primera B Metropolitana fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera B Metropolitana by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.