How are these Liga Profesional Argentina predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Liga Profesional Argentina table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

How far ahead are Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Argentina · top flight · table updated 3 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Profesional Argentina match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Profesional Argentina in the Bet Finder.

This week's Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19	7	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22	9	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18	12	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24	20	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18	15	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14	14	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24	20	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17	17	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18	21	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10	15	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11	21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5	12	-7	11

Apertura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29	15	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22	12	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	17	13	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20	16	+4	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19	19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17	13	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17	15	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15	15	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18	15	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13	20	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17	19	-2	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15	20	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6	19	-13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5	24	-19	5

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	11	8	1	2	17	8	+9	25
2	Boca Juniors	11	5	5	1	17	11	+6	20
3	Velez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	+6	20
4	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13	11	+2	18
5	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17
6	Independiente	11	5	2	4	11	12	-1	17
7	Lanus	10	5	1	4	13	9	+4	16
8	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11	8	+3	16
9	Union Santa Fe	11	4	1	6	17	19	-2	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4	8	-4	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	10	3	1	6	10	11	-1	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8	10	-2	10
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9	15	-6	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11	17	-6	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	10	5	3	2	13	9	+4	18
2	Rosario Central	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Independ. Rivadavia	11	5	3	3	15	14	+1	18
4	Gimnasia L.P.	11	5	3	3	16	16	0	18
5	Belgrano Cordoba	10	4	4	2	11	7	+4	16
6	Huracan	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
7	Sarmiento Junin	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
8	River Plate	10	4	1	5	13	12	+1	13
9	Atletico Tucuman	10	3	4	3	7	6	+1	13
10	Tigre	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
11	Barracas Central	10	3	3	4	5	7	-2	12
12	Banfield	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5	9
13	Aldosivi	10	2	2	6	12	16	-4	8
14	Racing Club	10	2	2	6	11	16	-5	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	10	1	3	6	5	13	-8	6

Knockout Phase

Official Liga Profesional Argentina table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-03.

This season in numbers

2.14

goals per game (409 matches)

47%

both teams scored

38%

over 2.5 goals

64%

over 1.5 goals

16%

over 3.5 goals

44%

home wins

29%

draws

27%

away wins

The model's Liga Profesional Argentina record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	11	59.6%	54.5%	-5.1
Home or draw≥ 80%	21	82.5%	71.4%	-11.1
Away win≥ 50%	1	51.6%	100.0%	+48.4
Away or draw≥ 73%	1	78.0%	100.0%	+22.0
Over 2.5≥ 57%	0	—	—	—
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Liga Profesional Argentina matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Liga Profesional Argentina results

About Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina is the top flight of Argentina football played across 4 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.14 goals per game over 409 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 38% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 29% drawn. The table is published as Apertura - Group A, Apertura - Group B, Clausura - Group A, Clausura - Group B.

How the model handles Liga Profesional Argentina

Every Liga Profesional Argentina fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 34 Liga Profesional Argentina tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.0% on average and landing 67.6%. Its best-calibrated Liga Profesional Argentina market so far is home win (59.6% claimed against 54.5% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Liga Profesional Argentina predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Liga Profesional Argentina table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Liga Profesional Argentina market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Liga Profesional Argentina tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 59.6% claimed against 54.5% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Profesional Argentina by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.