Super League predictions
Switzerland · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League fixtures
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 | |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 | |
| 3 |  FC Sion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 | |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | |
| 5 |  FC ST. Gallen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | |
| 6 |  FC Luzern | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 | |
| 7 |  FC Zurich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 | |
| 9 |  FC Thun | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 | |
| 10 |  Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 | |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
- Play-offs
- Relegation Play-offs
Official Super League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 10 | 61.0% | 60.0% | -1.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 7 | 82.8% | 85.7% | +2.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 24 | 61.1% | 83.3% | +22.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League results
- 20 Sept · 15:30Lausanne0-4FC LuganoNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:30FC Basel 18931-3FC ST. GallenNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00FC Vaduz1-2FC ThunOver 2.5✓
- 19 Sept · 17:00FC Sion1-1FC ZurichNo pick
- 19 Sept · 17:00BSC Young Boys3-2Servette FCOver 2.5✓
- 19 Sept · 17:00FC Luzern5-1GrasshoppersNo pick
- 16 Sept · 18:00FC Thun2-4Servette FCOver 2.5✓
- 16 Sept · 18:00FC Lugano4-1FC ST. GallenNo pick
- 15 Sept · 18:00Grasshoppers2-5FC SionOver 2.5✓
- 13 Sept · 15:30FC Luzern2-4FC Basel 1893No pick
About Super League
Super League is the top flight of Switzerland football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.87 goals per game over 54 matches: both teams scored in 74%, 78% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 19% drawn. FC Lugano lead the table on 25 points from 9 games.
How the model handles Super League
Every Super League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 41 Super League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.8% on average and landing 78.0%. Its best-calibrated Super League market so far is home win (61.0% claimed against 60.0% hit over 10 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 61.0% claimed against 60.0% hit over 10 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.