Primera División Femenina predictions
Spain · third tier · 16 teams · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Primera División Femenina match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera División Femenina in the Bet Finder.
This week's Primera División Femenina fixtures
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Madrid CFF W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Eibar W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Athletic Club W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 6 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 7 |  Edf Logrono W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | |
| 8 |  Atletico Madrid W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Sevilla W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Granada | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Espanyol W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2 | |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 0 |
- CL women
- women Qualifying
- Relegation
Official Primera División Femenina table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's Primera División Femenina record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 11 | 68.1% | 63.6% | -4.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 13 | 84.3% | 76.9% | -7.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 6 | 65.1% | 83.3% | +18.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 6 | 81.2% | 100.0% | +18.8 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 64.1% | 52.9% | -11.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Primera División Femenina matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Primera División Femenina results
- 27 Sept · 17:00Deportivo de La Coruña W1-1Espanyol WNo pick
- 27 Sept · 15:00Sevilla W0-1Eibar WHome or Draw✗
- 27 Sept · 11:00Valencia W1-2Granad. Tenerife WNo pick
- 27 Sept · 11:00Athletic Club W3-2Atletico Madrid WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 17:30Madrid CFF W1-0Deportivo Alavés WHome or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 15:30Edf Logrono W0-2Barcelona WAway or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 11:00Real Sociedad W3-5Real Madrid WAway or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 11:00FC Levante Badalona W0-1GranadaNo pick
- 20 Sept · 17:00Eibar W1-0Athletic Club WNo pick
- 20 Sept · 11:00Granada0-3Deportivo de La Coruña WNo pick
About Primera División Femenina
Primera División Femenina is the third tier of Spain football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.80 goals per game over 40 matches: both teams scored in 43%, 48% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 45% with 15% drawn. Barcelona W lead the table on 15 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Primera División Femenina
Every Primera División Femenina fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 53 Primera División Femenina tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.9% on average and landing 69.8%. Its best-calibrated Primera División Femenina market so far is home win (68.1% claimed against 63.6% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Primera División Femenina predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Primera División Femenina table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Primera División Femenina market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Primera División Femenina tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 68.1% claimed against 63.6% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Primera División Femenina fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera División Femenina by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.