Eredivisie Women predictions
Netherlands · third tier · 10 teams · table updated 28 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Eredivisie Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Eredivisie Women in the Bet Finder.
This week's Eredivisie Women fixtures
Eredivisie Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Twente W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | +24 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Ajax W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 |  AZ W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 | |
| 4 |  PSV/Eindhoven W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Heerenveen W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | |
| 6 |  ADO Den Haag W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 7 | |
| 7 |  PEC Zwolle W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 | |
| 8 |  De Graafschap W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Feyenoord W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Utrecht W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 |
Official Eredivisie Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-28.
This season in numbers
The model's Eredivisie Women record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 67.9% | 71.4% | +3.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 84.8% | 100.0% | +15.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 7 | 63.4% | 57.1% | -6.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 7 | 81.6% | 57.1% | -24.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 16 | 64.2% | 75.0% | +10.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 64.6% | 0.0% | -64.6 |
Settled Eredivisie Women matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Eredivisie Women results
- 27 Sept · 15:45Heerenveen W2-0Utrecht WAway or Draw✗
- 27 Sept · 11:15AZ W0-5Twente WAway or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 15:30Feyenoord W2-3PEC Zwolle WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 15:30Ajax W7-1ADO Den Haag WOver 2.5✓
- 26 Sept · 13:00PSV/Eindhoven W4-0De Graafschap WNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:45ADO Den Haag W2-2Heerenveen WOver 2.5✓
- 20 Sept · 11:15PEC Zwolle W2-3De Graafschap WNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:30Utrecht W0-3Feyenoord WOver 2.5✓
- 19 Sept · 15:30Ajax W5-1AZ WOver 2.5✓
- 19 Sept · 13:00PSV/Eindhoven W0-4Twente WOver 2.5✓
About Eredivisie Women
Eredivisie Women is the third tier of Netherlands football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.90 goals per game over 30 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 73% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 7% drawn. Twente W lead the table on 18 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Eredivisie Women
Every Eredivisie Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 44 Eredivisie Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.2% on average and landing 70.4%. Its best-calibrated Eredivisie Women market so far is home win (67.9% claimed against 71.4% hit over 7 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Eredivisie Women predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Eredivisie Women table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Eredivisie Women market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Eredivisie Women tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 67.9% claimed against 71.4% hit over 7 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Eredivisie Women fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Eredivisie Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.