Super League Women predictions

Belgium · third tier · 8 teams · table updated 27 Sept

Calibrated probabilities for every Super League Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League Women in the Bet Finder.

This week's Super League Women fixtures

Super League Women table

#TeamPGDPts
1Anderlecht W4+1012
2Club Brugge W4+410
3OH Leuven W4+108
4RAAL La Louviere W4-16
5Standard Liege W4-56
6Genk W4-34
7Zulte-Waregem W4-50
8Gent W4-100

Official Super League Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-27.

This season in numbers

3.00
goals per game (16 matches)
38%
both teams scored
44%
over 2.5 goals
75%
over 1.5 goals
38%
over 3.5 goals
63%
home wins
13%
draws
25%
away wins

The model's Super League Women record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%474.5%75.0%+0.5
Home or draw≥ 80%487.1%100.0%+12.9
Away win≥ 50%365.0%66.7%+1.7
Away or draw≥ 73%380.4%100.0%+19.6
Over 2.5≥ 57%1166.6%45.5%-21.1
BTTS≥ 63%264.6%50.0%-14.6

Settled Super League Women matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Super League Women results

About Super League Women

Super League Women is the third tier of Belgium football with 8 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.00 goals per game over 16 matches: both teams scored in 38%, 44% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 63% with 13% drawn. Anderlecht W lead the table on 12 points from 4 games.

How the model handles Super League Women

Every Super League Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 27 Super League Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.0% on average and landing 66.7%. Its best-calibrated Super League Women market so far is over 2.5 (66.6% claimed against 45.5% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Super League Women predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Super League Women table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Super League Women market is the model most reliable in?
On settled Super League Women tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 66.6% claimed against 45.5% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Super League Women fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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