Jupiler Pro League predictions
Belgium · top flight · 18 teams · table updated 24 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Jupiler Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Jupiler Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Jupiler Pro League fixtures
- 9 Oct · 19:45SK BeverenvLommel UnitedNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Cercle BruggevAnderlechtNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 17:15RAAL La LouvièrevClub Brugge KVNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 19:45GenkvKortrijkNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 19:45Zulte WaregemvGentNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:30Standard LiegevCharleroiNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 15:00Union St. GilloisevOH LeuvenNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 17:30KVC WesterlovAntwerpNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 18:15KV MechelenvSt. TruidenNo pick yet
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | +18 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 18 | |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Zulte Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Standard Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | |
| 9 |  SK Beveren | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | |
| 11 |  St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Lommel United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 | |
| 14 |  RAAL La Louvière | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 | |
| 15 |  OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 | |
| 18 |  KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
- Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
- Relegation - Challenger Pro League
Official Jupiler Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Jupiler Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 12 | 63.3% | 91.7% | +28.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 12 | 83.0% | 100.0% | +17.0 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 6 | 54.2% | 100.0% | +45.8 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 6 | 77.0% | 100.0% | +23.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 24 | 60.5% | 62.5% | +2.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Jupiler Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Jupiler Pro League results
- 20 Sept · 18:15Kortrijk1-0SK BeverenAway or Draw✗
- 20 Sept · 17:30Club Brugge KV3-0GenkOver 2.5✓
- 20 Sept · 15:00St. Truiden0-2KVC WesterloNo pick
- 20 Sept · 12:30Antwerp0-2Union St. GilloiseOver 2.5✗
- 19 Sept · 19:45Lommel United0-0KV MechelenNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:45Anderlecht3-0Zulte WaregemNo pick
- 19 Sept · 17:15Charleroi3-2Cercle BruggeNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00OH Leuven2-0RAAL La LouvièreOver 2.5✗
- 18 Sept · 19:45Gent2-1Standard LiegeHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 18:15RAAL La Louvière3-0KortrijkNo pick
About Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League is the top flight of Belgium football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.94 goals per game over 63 matches: both teams scored in 40%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 51% with 19% drawn. Union St. Gilloise lead the table on 19 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Jupiler Pro League
Every Jupiler Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 60 Jupiler Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.6% on average and landing 83.3%. Its best-calibrated Jupiler Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (60.5% claimed against 62.5% hit over 24 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Jupiler Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Jupiler Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Jupiler Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Jupiler Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 60.5% claimed against 62.5% hit over 24 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Jupiler Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Jupiler Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.