Challenger Pro League predictions
Belgium · second tier · 15 teams · table updated 24 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Challenger Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Challenger Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Challenger Pro League fixtures
- 9 Oct · 19:00RSC Anderlecht IIvAS EupenNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 19:00DendervClub Brugge IINo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00K. Lierse S.K.vFrancs BorainsNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:00Excelsior VirtonvSporting HasseltNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 19:00Beerschot VAvLiègeNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 15:00Patro EisdenvKRC Genk IINo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 18:15KAA Gent IIvSeraing UnitedNo pick yet
Challenger Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Beerschot VA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Dender | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 3 |  AS Eupen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Francs Borains | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Excelsior Virton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Sporting Hasselt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Club Brugge II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | |
| 9 |  KRC Genk II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Liège | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | |
| 11 |  KAA Gent II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 | |
| 12 |  K. Lierse S.K. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | |
| 13 |  Patro Eisden | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Seraing United | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | |
| 15 |  RSC Anderlecht II | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 1 |
- Promotion - Jupiler Pro League
- Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Promotion)
- Relegation
Official Challenger Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Challenger Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 5 | 59.1% | 40.0% | -19.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Challenger Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Challenger Pro League results
- 20 Sept · 18:15Dender1-0Patro EisdenNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:00Lokeren-Temse1-1Excelsior VirtonNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:00AS Eupen3-1LiègeNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Sporting Hasselt0-1Beerschot VANo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00KRC Genk II2-2Seraing UnitedNo pick
- 18 Sept · 19:00Francs Borains3-2RSC Anderlecht IINo pick
- 18 Sept · 19:00Club Brugge II2-2KAA Gent IINo pick
- 13 Sept · 18:15Patro Eisden1-2AS EupenNo pick
- 13 Sept · 15:00Liège4-4Club Brugge IINo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:00Excelsior Virton3-0KRC Genk IINo pick
About Challenger Pro League
Challenger Pro League is the second tier of Belgium football with 15 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.07 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 62% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 17% drawn. Beerschot VA lead the table on 15 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Challenger Pro League
Every Challenger Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 5 Challenger Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 59.1% on average and landing 40.0%. Its best-calibrated Challenger Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (59.1% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Challenger Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Challenger Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Challenger Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Challenger Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.1% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Challenger Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Challenger Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.