Championship predictions
Scotland · second tier · 10 teams · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Championship match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Championship in the Bet Finder.
This week's Championship fixtures
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 | |
| 3 |  Livingston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Arbroath | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Ayr Utd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 10 |  Morton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 1 |
- Promotion - Premiership
- Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi-finals)
- Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter-finals)
- Championship (Relegation)
- Relegation - League One
Official Championship table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's Championship record
Not enough settled Championship tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Championship results
- 25 Sept · 19:45Raith Rovers0-2LivingstonNo pick
- 25 Sept · 19:45Inverness CT2-0MortonNo pick
- 25 Sept · 19:45Ayr Utd0-1StenhousemuirNo pick
- 25 Sept · 19:45Arbroath2-1Queen's ParkNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Stenhousemuir1-0ArbroathNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Partick0-0Raith RoversNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Morton0-1DunfermlineNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Livingston2-2Inverness CTNo pick
- 18 Sept · 19:30Queen's Park0-2Ayr UtdNo pick
- 15 Sept · 19:45Stenhousemuir1-0PartickNo pick
About Championship
Championship is the second tier of Scotland football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 1.95 goals per game over 39 matches: both teams scored in 33%, 23% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 26% drawn. Stenhousemuir lead the table on 22 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Championship
Every Championship fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Championship tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Championship predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Championship table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Championship market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Championship tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Championship fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Championship by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.