Liga MX Femenil predictions
Mexico · third tier · 18 teams · table updated 2 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga MX Femenil match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga MX Femenil in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga MX Femenil fixtures
Liga MX Femenil table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  América W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 7 | +35 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Monterrey W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 10 | +25 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Tigres UANL W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Juárez W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Toluca W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 19 | |
| 6 |  Guadalajara W | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 18 | |
| 7 |  Atlético San Luis W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 16 | |
| 8 |  Pumas UNAM W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9 |  León W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Cruz Azul W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | |
| 13 |  Pachuca W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | |
| 14 |  Atlante W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 | |
| 15 |  Querétaro W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Tijuana W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Puebla W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Necaxa W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 36 | -33 | 0 |
Official Liga MX Femenil table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-02.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga MX Femenil record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 28 | 73.1% | 71.4% | -1.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 27 | 87.1% | 77.8% | -9.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 19 | 63.4% | 84.2% | +20.8 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 17 | 81.1% | 94.1% | +13.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 50 | 66.1% | 76.0% | +9.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga MX Femenil matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga MX Femenil results
- 29 Sept · 2:06Necaxa W0-4Toluca WAway or Draw✓
- 29 Sept · 0:00León W0-5América WAway or Draw✓
- 28 Sept · 22:45Atlante W0-0Pumas UNAM WNo pick
- 28 Sept · 1:06Tigres UANL W1-1Atlético San Luis WHome or Draw✓
- 27 Sept · 19:00Puebla W1-2Monterrey WAway or Draw✓
- 27 Sept · 2:06Juárez W5-1Tijuana WOver 2.5✓
- 27 Sept · 0:00Pachuca W4-1Santos Laguna WHome or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 19:06Querétaro W0-1Atlas WNo pick
- 26 Sept · 2:00Cruz Azul W0-1Guadalajara WNo pick
- 22 Sept · 2:06Santos Laguna W2-0Cruz Azul WNo pick
About Liga MX Femenil
Liga MX Femenil is the third tier of Mexico football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.79 goals per game over 81 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 67% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 52% with 6% drawn. América W lead the table on 25 points from 9 games.
How the model handles Liga MX Femenil
Every Liga MX Femenil fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 141 Liga MX Femenil tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.0% on average and landing 78.7%. Its best-calibrated Liga MX Femenil market so far is home win (73.1% claimed against 71.4% hit over 28 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga MX Femenil predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga MX Femenil table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga MX Femenil market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga MX Femenil tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 73.1% claimed against 71.4% hit over 28 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga MX Femenil fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga MX Femenil by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.