Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions
Georgia · second tier · 10 teams · table updated 23 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Erovnuli Liga 2 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Erovnuli Liga 2 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Erovnuli Liga 2 fixtures
Erovnuli Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gareji | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 35 | 28 | +7 | 50 | |
| 2 |  Telavi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 43 | |
| 3 |  Shturmi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 43 | |
| 4 |  Merani Martvili | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 | |
| 5 |  Samtredia | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 40 | +8 | 37 | |
| 6 |  Aragvi Dusheti | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 35 | |
| 7 |  Sioni | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | +1 | 33 | |
| 8 |  Odishi 1919 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 32 | |
| 9 |  Kolkheti Poti | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 28 | |
| 10 |  Gori | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
- Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
- Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion)
- Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
- Relegation - Liga 3
Official Erovnuli Liga 2 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-23.
This season in numbers
The model's Erovnuli Liga 2 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 59.4% | 33.3% | -26.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 80.8% | 66.7% | -14.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 8 | 61.9% | 50.0% | -11.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Erovnuli Liga 2 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Erovnuli Liga 2 results
- 20 Sept · 17:00Shturmi1-0GarejiNo pick
- 20 Sept · 16:00Samtredia5-0Merani MartviliNo pick
- 20 Sept · 16:00Sioni1-2Aragvi DushetiOver 2.5✓
- 20 Sept · 15:00Gori1-1Kolkheti PotiNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00Odishi 19191-1TelaviNo pick
- 16 Sept · 18:15Aragvi Dusheti0-1Odishi 1919No pick
- 16 Sept · 16:00Telavi1-1ShturmiNo pick
- 16 Sept · 14:00Kolkheti Poti1-0SamtrediaNo pick
- 16 Sept · 13:00Merani Martvili2-1SioniNo pick
- 16 Sept · 13:00Gareji2-1GoriOver 2.5✓
About Erovnuli Liga 2
Erovnuli Liga 2 is the second tier of Georgia football with 10 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.41 goals per game over 135 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 42% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 30% drawn. Gareji lead the table on 50 points from 27 games.
How the model handles Erovnuli Liga 2
Every Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 14 Erovnuli Liga 2 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.4% on average and landing 50.0%. Its best-calibrated Erovnuli Liga 2 market so far is over 2.5 (61.9% claimed against 50.0% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Erovnuli Liga 2 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Erovnuli Liga 2 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Erovnuli Liga 2 tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.9% claimed against 50.0% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Erovnuli Liga 2 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Erovnuli Liga 2 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.