Feminine Division 1 predictions
France · fourth tier · 12 teams · table updated 23 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Feminine Division 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Feminine Division 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Feminine Division 1 fixtures
Feminine Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | +19 | 9 | |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Marseille W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 7 | |
| 4 |  Paris FC W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Montpellier W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | |
| 6 |  FC Fleury 91 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 | |
| 7 |  Strasbourg W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Le Havre W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Saint-Malo W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Lens W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Toulouse W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 | |
| 12 |  Nantes W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
- Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women
Official Feminine Division 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-23.
This season in numbers
The model's Feminine Division 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 70.1% | 100.0% | +29.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 87.1% | 100.0% | +12.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 4 | 68.3% | 100.0% | +31.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 4 | 82.3% | 100.0% | +17.7 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 9 | 64.9% | 33.3% | -31.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Feminine Division 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Feminine Division 1 results
- 19 Sept · 20:00Montpellier W0-0Marseille WOver 2.5✗
- 19 Sept · 17:00Lens W2-2Toulouse WNo pick
- 19 Sept · 17:00Saint-Malo W0-2FC Fleury 91 WNo pick
- 18 Sept · 20:00Paris Saint Germain W1-0Nantes WHome or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 18:00Strasbourg W0-2Paris FC WAway or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 18:00Le Havre W1-8Lyon WAway or Draw✓
- 12 Sept · 17:00Marseille W2-1Lens WNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00Toulouse W1-2Le Havre WNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00Saint-Malo W1-0Montpellier WNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00Nantes W1-1FC Fleury 91 WNo pick
About Feminine Division 1
Feminine Division 1 is the fourth tier of France football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.39 goals per game over 18 matches: both teams scored in 50%, 44% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 17% drawn. Lyon W lead the table on 9 points from 3 games.
How the model handles Feminine Division 1
Every Feminine Division 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 24 Feminine Division 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.0% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Feminine Division 1 market so far is over 2.5 (64.9% claimed against 33.3% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Feminine Division 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Feminine Division 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Feminine Division 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Feminine Division 1 tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 64.9% claimed against 33.3% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Feminine Division 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Feminine Division 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.