2. Division predictions
Denmark · third tier · 12 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Division match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Division in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Division fixtures
- 4 Oct · 13:00Thisted FCvRoskildeAway or DrawSolid
- 10 Oct · 13:00BrabrandvFremad AmagerNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00FA 2000vNaestvedNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00HIKvThisted FCNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 13:00RoskildevSkiveNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00B 93vMiddelfartNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 13:00Nykobing FCvVSK ÅrhusNo pick yet
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nykobing FC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 21 | |
| 2 |  VSK Århus | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Roskilde | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Middelfart | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Naestved | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Fremad Amager | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 | |
| 7 |  B 93 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Skive | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 |  HIK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Brabrand | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 | |
| 11 |  FA 2000 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 | |
| 12 |  Thisted FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 4 |
- Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
- 2nd Division (Relegation Group)
Official 2. Division table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Division record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 59.7% | 50.0% | -9.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 81.1% | 50.0% | -31.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 54.7% | 0.0% | -54.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 77.1% | 100.0% | +22.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 5 | 60.5% | 40.0% | -20.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 2. Division matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Division results
- 2 Oct · 18:00VSK Århus0-2BrabrandHome or Draw✗
- 2 Oct · 18:00Naestved1-1Nykobing FCNo pick
- 2 Oct · 18:00Fremad Amager0-3B 93No pick
- 27 Sept · 12:00Naestved2-2MiddelfartNo pick
- 26 Sept · 14:00B 931-0Thisted FCNo pick
- 26 Sept · 13:00FA 20001-2Fremad AmagerNo pick
- 26 Sept · 13:00Brabrand1-1Nykobing FCNo pick
- 26 Sept · 12:30VSK Århus1-0SkiveNo pick
- 25 Sept · 18:00HIK1-1RoskildeAway or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 12:00Thisted FC3-1BrabrandNo pick
About 2. Division
2. Division is the third tier of Denmark football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.88 goals per game over 57 matches: both teams scored in 67%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 32% with 37% drawn. Nykobing FC lead the table on 21 points from 9 games.
How the model handles 2. Division
Every 2. Division fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 13 2. Division tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.2% on average and landing 46.2%. Its best-calibrated 2. Division market so far is over 2.5 (60.5% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Division predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Division table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Division market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Division tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 60.5% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Division fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Division by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.