How are these Primera B predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Primera B table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

Which Primera B market is the model most reliable in?

On settled Primera B tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.3% claimed against 66.7% hit over 15 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.

How far ahead are Primera B fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Primera B predictions

Colombia · second tier · table updated 1 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Primera B match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera B in the Bet Finder.

This week's Primera B fixtures

Primera B table

Primera B: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	31	17	8	6	40	27	+13	59
2	Real Cartagena	33	15	10	8	51	36	+15	55
3	Envigado	33	15	10	8	43	28	+15	55
4	Quindio	31	15	9	7	32	21	+11	54
5	Union Magdalena	30	14	7	9	41	29	+12	49
6	Tigres FC	31	11	9	11	31	26	+5	42
7	Ind. Yumbo	25	10	9	6	27	20	+7	39
8	Bogota FC	31	9	10	12	25	32	-7	37
9	Patriotas	25	9	7	9	30	33	-3	34
10	Barranquilla	31	9	7	15	36	42	-6	34
11	Real Cundinamarca	25	8	9	8	31	28	+3	33
12	Popayan	24	6	9	9	29	31	-2	27
13	Orsomarso	25	6	9	10	20	27	-7	27
14	Depor FC	25	5	8	12	24	38	-14	23
15	Real Santander	25	3	10	12	21	38	-17	19
16	Leones FC	25	4	7	14	15	40	-25	19

Primera B: Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	15	12	2	1	29	13	+16	38
2	Union Magdalena	15	10	2	3	27	15	+12	32
3	Quindio	15	9	4	2	20	10	+10	31
4	Envigado	15	9	2	4	24	14	+10	29
5	Real Cartagena	15	7	5	3	23	15	+8	26
6	Bogota FC	15	6	5	4	16	14	+2	23
7	Barranquilla	15	6	2	7	21	20	+1	20
8	Tigres FC	15	5	5	5	15	14	+1	20
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	4	7	4	13	14	-1	19
10	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	13	17	-4	17
11	Patriotas	15	4	5	6	13	17	-4	17
12	Popayan	15	2	7	6	15	20	-5	13
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	2	7	6	14	19	-5	13
14	Leones FC	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16	10
15	Depor FC	15	1	6	8	12	23	-11	9
16	Real Santander	15	1	4	10	9	23	-14	7

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Envigado	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
1	Real Cartagena	6	4	1	1	8	6	+2	13
2	Quindio	6	3	1	2	4	3	+1	10
2	Union Magdalena	6	2	3	1	8	4	+4	9
3	Barranquilla	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
3	Internacional Palmira	6	1	4	1	3	3	0	7
4	Bogota FC	6	0	3	3	3	8	-5	3
4	Tigres FC	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4

Primera B: Clausura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	10	6	2	2	17	9	+8	20
2	Ind. Yumbo	10	6	2	2	14	6	+8	20
3	Tigres FC	10	5	3	2	12	4	+8	18
4	Patriotas	10	5	2	3	17	16	+1	17
5	Real Cartagena	10	4	3	3	17	11	+6	15
6	Popayan	9	4	2	3	14	11	+3	14
7	Depor FC	10	4	2	4	12	15	-3	14
8	Internacional Palmira	10	4	2	4	8	11	-3	14
9	Quindio	10	3	4	3	8	8	0	13
10	Real Santander	10	2	6	2	12	15	-3	12
11	Envigado	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
12	Bogota FC	10	3	2	5	6	10	-4	11
13	Orsomarso	10	2	4	4	7	10	-3	10
14	Leones FC	10	2	3	5	7	16	-9	9
15	Union Magdalena	9	2	2	5	6	10	-4	8
16	Barranquilla	10	2	2	6	10	16	-6	8

Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)

Official Primera B table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.

This season in numbers

2.21

goals per game (226 matches)

48%

both teams scored

39%

over 2.5 goals

69%

over 1.5 goals

17%

over 3.5 goals

38%

home wins

31%

draws

32%

away wins

The model's Primera B record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	5	59.9%	20.0%	-39.9
Home or draw≥ 80%	15	82.3%	66.7%	-15.6
Away win≥ 50%	0	—	—	—
Away or draw≥ 73%	0	—	—	—
Over 2.5≥ 57%	0	—	—	—
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Primera B matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Primera B results

About Primera B

Primera B is the second tier of Colombia football played across 4 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.21 goals per game over 226 matches: both teams scored in 48%, 39% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 31% drawn. The table is published as Primera B: Tabla Anual, Primera B: Apertura, Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, Primera B: Clausura.

How the model handles Primera B

Every Primera B fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 20 Primera B tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 76.7% on average and landing 55.0%. Its best-calibrated Primera B market so far is home or draw (82.3% claimed against 66.7% hit over 15 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Primera B predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Primera B table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Primera B market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Primera B tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.3% claimed against 66.7% hit over 15 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Primera B fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera B by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

Other Colombia competitions

Primera A