Second League predictions
Bulgaria · second tier · 18 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Second League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Second League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Second League fixtures
- 9 Oct · 15:30Yantra 2019vVihrenNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 18:00Etar Veliko TarnovovFratriaNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00MarekvBeroeNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Pirin BlagoevgradvSpartak PlevenNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Rilski SportistvLokomotiv G. OryahovitsaNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Sportist SvogevHebar 1918No pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00DobrudzhavChernomorets 1919 BurgasNo pick yet
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vihren | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 24 | |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 | |
| 7 |  Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 17 | |
| 8 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 |  Yantra 2019 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 16 | |
| 10 |  Hebar 1918 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 14 | |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Marek | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 | |
| 13 |  Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 | |
| 14 |  Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 | |
| 15 |  Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 | |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 33 | -29 | 0 |
- Promotion - efbet League
- Promotion - efbet League (Promotion)
- Vtora liga (Relegation)
- Relegation
Official Second League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's Second League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 9 | 62.5% | 88.9% | +26.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 13 | 82.6% | 92.3% | +9.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 3 | 63.1% | 66.7% | +3.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Second League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Second League results
- 27 Sept · 17:00Hebar 19181-2DobrudzhaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 17:00Fratria3-0Spartak PlevenNo pick
- 27 Sept · 15:00CSKA Sofia II1-0Sportist SvogeNo pick
- 27 Sept · 15:00Chernomorets 1919 Burgas2-0MontanaNo pick
- 27 Sept · 14:30Beroe1-0Yantra 2019No pick
- 27 Sept · 12:00Vihren2-0NesebarHome or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 14:00Rilski Sportist1-0Pirin BlagoevgradHome or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 14:00Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-0MarekNo pick
- 21 Sept · 17:30Montana0-5Hebar 1918No pick
- 21 Sept · 17:00Spartak Pleven1-0Ludogorets IINo pick
About Second League
Second League is the second tier of Bulgaria football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.67 goals per game over 98 matches: both teams scored in 45%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 53% with 23% drawn. Vihren lead the table on 24 points from 11 games.
How the model handles Second League
Every Second League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 25 Second League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.0% on average and landing 88.0%. Its best-calibrated Second League market so far is home or draw (82.6% claimed against 92.3% hit over 13 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Second League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Second League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Second League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Second League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.6% claimed against 92.3% hit over 13 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Second League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Second League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.