2. Liga predictions

Austria · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 23 Sept

Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.

This week's 2. Liga fixtures

2. Liga table

#TeamPGDPts
1FC BW Linz7+1618
2First Vienna7+716
3Floridsdorfer AC7+313
4SKU Amstetten7+312
5Austria Vienna (Am)7+212
6Wacker Innsbruck7+211
7Austria Salzburg7+210
8FC Liefering7-110
9Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz7-110
10SKN ST. Polten709
11Admira Wacker7-19
12Voitsberg7-29
13Sturm Graz II7-38
14Rapid Wien II7-106
15WSPG Wels7-94
16SV Kapfenberg7-83
  • Promotion - Bundesliga
  • Relegation

Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-23.

This season in numbers

3.30
goals per game (56 matches)
55%
both teams scored
64%
over 2.5 goals
80%
over 1.5 goals
48%
over 3.5 goals
52%
home wins
14%
draws
34%
away wins

The model's 2. Liga record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%0———
Home or draw≥ 80%0———
Away win≥ 50%151.6%0.0%-51.6
Away or draw≥ 73%175.0%0.0%-75.0
Over 2.5≥ 57%1359.3%76.9%+17.6
BTTS≥ 63%0———

Settled 2. Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent 2. Liga results

About 2. Liga

2. Liga is the second tier of Austria football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.30 goals per game over 56 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 64% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 52% with 14% drawn. FC BW Linz lead the table on 18 points from 7 games.

How the model handles 2. Liga

Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 15 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 59.8% on average and landing 66.6%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is over 2.5 (59.3% claimed against 76.9% hit over 13 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
On settled 2. Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.3% claimed against 76.9% hit over 13 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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