Western Australia NPL predictions
Australia · ninth tier · 12 teams · table updated 20 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Western Australia NPL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Western Australia NPL in the Bet Finder.
This week's Western Australia NPL fixtures
No Western Australia NPL fixtures in the next 7 days.
Western Australia NPL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayswater City | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 60 | 27 | +33 | 47 | |
| 2 |  Olympic Kingsway | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 29 | +15 | 41 | |
| 3 |  Perth RedStar | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 41 | |
| 4 |  Perth | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 38 | |
| 5 |  Fremantle City | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 35 | |
| 6 |  Stirling Lions | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 30 | |
| 7 |  Western Knights | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 25 | |
| 8 |  Sorrento | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 24 | |
| 9 |  Dianella White Eagle | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 23 | |
| 10 |  Perth Glory II | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 21 | |
| 11 |  Armadale | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 21 | |
| 12 |  Balcatta | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 17 |
Official Western Australia NPL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-20.
This season in numbers
The model's Western Australia NPL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 63.9% | 50.0% | -13.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 81.1% | 100.0% | +18.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 3 | 57.7% | 33.3% | -24.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 3 | 76.9% | 66.7% | -10.2 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 30 | 67.5% | 60.0% | -7.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 19 | 65.0% | 63.2% | -1.8 |
Settled Western Australia NPL matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Western Australia NPL results
- 19 Sept · 8:30Armadale3-0UWA NedlandsOver 2.5✓
- 12 Sept · 11:00Bayswater City2-0PerthBTTS✗
- 12 Sept · 8:00UWA Nedlands0-0Mandurah CityNo pick
- 12 Sept · 8:00Armadale1-1Joondalup CityOver 2.5✗
- 8 Sept · 12:00Olympic Kingsway0-2PerthBTTS✗
- 5 Sept · 10:15Mandurah City0-1UWA NedlandsNo pick
- 5 Sept · 8:00Joondalup City1-2ArmadaleBTTS✓
- 4 Sept · 12:00Perth RedStar1-3PerthOver 2.5✓
- 4 Sept · 12:00Bayswater City5-3Olympic KingswayBTTS✓
- 22 Aug · 8:00Balcatta0-2Dianella White EagleNo pick
About Western Australia NPL
Western Australia NPL is the ninth tier of Australia football with 12 teams. The 2026 season has produced 3.57 goals per game over 141 matches: both teams scored in 66%, 66% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 40% with 25% drawn. Bayswater City lead the table on 47 points from 22 games.
How the model handles Western Australia NPL
Every Western Australia NPL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 63 Western Australia NPL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 67.4% on average and landing 61.9%. Its best-calibrated Western Australia NPL market so far is btts (65.0% claimed against 63.2% hit over 19 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Western Australia NPL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Western Australia NPL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Western Australia NPL market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Western Australia NPL tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is btts: 65.0% claimed against 63.2% hit over 19 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Western Australia NPL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Western Australia NPL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.