Segunda División predictions
Uruguay · second tier · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Segunda División match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Segunda División in the Bet Finder.
This week's Segunda División fixtures
- 4 Oct · 14:00ColónvOrientalNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 17:00FenixvUruguay MontevideoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 20:00Plaza ColoniavCerritoNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 23:00La LuzvCA River PlateAway or DrawModerate
- 10 Oct · 14:00CA River PlatevOrientalNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 17:00Uruguay MontevideovColónNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 20:00CerritovTacuaremboNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 23:00PaysanduvRentistasNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 17:00AtenasvMiramarNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 20:00La LuzvPlaza ColoniaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 23:00Sportivo HuracanvFenixNo pick yet
Segunda División table
1st Phase
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 4 |  Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 |  La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
2nd Phase
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 37 | |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 32 | |
| 3 | Oriental | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 31 | |
| 4 | CA River Plate | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 23 | +6 | 30 | |
| 5 | Rentistas | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 30 | |
| 6 | Colón | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 29 | |
| 7 | Fenix | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 26 | |
| 8 | Cerrito | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 23 | +1 | 26 | |
| 9 | Sportivo Huracan | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 26 | |
| 10 | Paysandu | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 25 | |
| 11 | La Luz | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 24 | |
| 12 | Tacuarembo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 24 | |
| 13 | Miramar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 17 |
Official Segunda División table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's Segunda División record
Not enough settled Segunda División tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Segunda División results
- 28 Sept · 23:00Paysandu2-2TacuaremboNo pick
- 28 Sept · 0:00Sportivo Huracan2-1MiramarNo pick
- 27 Sept · 20:00Cerrito1-2La LuzNo pick
- 27 Sept · 17:00Atenas0-0Plaza ColoniaNo pick
- 26 Sept · 23:00Oriental3-2FenixNo pick
- 26 Sept · 20:00CA River Plate3-0ColónNo pick
- 26 Sept · 17:00Uruguay Montevideo1-3RentistasNo pick
- 20 Sept · 21:00Rentistas0-2OrientalNo pick
- 20 Sept · 18:00Cerrito1-1CA River PlateNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:00Tacuarembo1-1Sportivo HuracanNo pick
About Segunda División
Segunda División is the second tier of Uruguay football played across 2 groups. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.31 goals per game over 183 matches: both teams scored in 52%, 38% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 32% drawn. The table is published as 1st Phase, 2nd Phase.
How the model handles Segunda División
Every Segunda División fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Segunda División tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Segunda División predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Segunda División table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Segunda División market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Segunda División tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Segunda División fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Segunda División by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.