Pro League predictions
United Arab Emirates · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 14 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
No Pro League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | |
| 4 |  Al-Wasl FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Al Wahda FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Sharjah FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Dubai United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Al Nasr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 | |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad Kalba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Khorfakkan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Al-Dhafra | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | |
| 13 |  Hatta SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | |
| 14 |  Baniyas SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-14.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 65.3% | 85.7% | +20.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 85.7% | 100.0% | +14.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 9 | 61.8% | 88.9% | +27.1 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 9 | 81.1% | 100.0% | +18.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 22 | 61.4% | 63.6% | +2.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 11 Sept · 17:15Al Wahda FC1-0Sharjah FCOver 2.5✗
- 11 Sept · 17:15Ajman2-3Al-Ittihad KalbaOver 2.5✓
- 11 Sept · 14:40Khorfakkan0-0Baniyas SCNo pick
- 11 Sept · 14:40Hatta SC1-2Al-DhafraNo pick
- 10 Sept · 17:15Al Ain2-2Al-Wasl FCOver 2.5✓
- 10 Sept · 14:40Dubai United1-1Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAway or Draw✓
- 10 Sept · 14:40Al-Jazira1-1Al NasrOver 2.5✗
- 6 Sept · 17:15Al-Dhafra0-1Al Wahda FCAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 14:45Al Nasr1-2AjmanNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:15Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1-3Al-JaziraOver 2.5✓
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of United Arab Emirates football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.34 goals per game over 35 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 14% drawn. Al-Jazira lead the table on 13 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 52 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 67.7% on average and landing 80.8%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (61.4% claimed against 63.6% hit over 22 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.4% claimed against 63.6% hit over 22 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.