Allsvenskan predictions
Sweden · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Allsvenskan match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Allsvenskan in the Bet Finder.
This week's Allsvenskan fixtures
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 28 | +24 | 51 | |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 20 | +29 | 43 | |
| 3 |  Djurgardens IF | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 41 | |
| 4 |  IF Elfsborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 22 | +9 | 37 | |
| 5 |  BK Hacken | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 36 | |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK FK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 | |
| 7 |  Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 33 | +4 | 33 | |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 33 | |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 32 | |
| 10 |  Gais | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 30 | |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 | |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 | |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 | |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 15 | |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 14 |
- Qualifying
- Qualifying
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official Allsvenskan table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's Allsvenskan record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 19 | 64.1% | 57.9% | -6.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 15 | 84.1% | 80.0% | -4.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 51.2% | 0.0% | -51.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 75.4% | 0.0% | -75.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 18 | 62.3% | 61.1% | -1.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Allsvenskan matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Allsvenskan results
- 20 Sept · 15:30Mjallby AIF0-3GaisNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:30Degerfors IF0-1Hammarby FFNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00Kalmar FF0-5BK HackenNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00Halmstad2-1AIK StockholmNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:00Djurgardens IF1-2IF ElfsborgOver 2.5✓
- 19 Sept · 16:30Orgryte IS1-2SiriusNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:00Vasteras SK FK2-0Malmo FFAway or Draw✗
- 19 Sept · 14:00IF Brommapojkarna0-1IFK GoteborgNo pick
- 16 Sept · 18:00AIK Stockholm1-1Mjallby AIFNo pick
- 14 Sept · 18:20Sirius2-0Degerfors IFHome or Draw✓
About Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan is the top flight of Sweden football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.94 goals per game over 176 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 42% with 23% drawn. Sirius lead the table on 51 points from 22 games.
How the model handles Allsvenskan
Every Allsvenskan fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 54 Allsvenskan tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.0% on average and landing 63.0%. Its best-calibrated Allsvenskan market so far is over 2.5 (62.3% claimed against 61.1% hit over 18 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Allsvenskan predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Allsvenskan table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Allsvenskan market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Allsvenskan tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 62.3% claimed against 61.1% hit over 18 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Allsvenskan fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Allsvenskan by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.