K League 1 predictions
South Korea · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every K League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter K League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's K League 1 fixtures
- 9 Oct · 6:00Daejeon CitizenvJeonbuk MotorsNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 8:30Gangwon FCvBucheon FC 1995No pick yet
- 9 Oct · 8:30Incheon UnitedvPohang SteelersNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 6:00FC SeoulvJeju United FCNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 8:30Gimcheon Sangmu FCvFC AnyangNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 6:00Gwangju FCvUlsan Hyundai FCNo pick yet
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | +31 | 62 | |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 47 | |
| 3 |  Jeju United FC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 46 | |
| 4 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 44 | |
| 5 |  Gangwon FC | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 28 | +8 | 43 | |
| 6 |  Daejeon Citizen | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 37 | +9 | 40 | |
| 7 |  Pohang Steelers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 | |
| 8 |  Incheon United | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 39 | |
| 9 |  FC Anyang | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 | |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 | |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 32 | |
| 12 |  Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 15 |
- Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
- K League 1 (Relegation Group)
Official K League 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's K League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 52.3% | 100.0% | +47.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 75.8% | 100.0% | +24.2 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 4 | 59.9% | 75.0% | +15.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled K League 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent K League 1 results
- 27 Sept · 11:00Gangwon FC0-0Incheon UnitedNo pick
- 20 Sept · 11:00Pohang Steelers2-1FC SeoulNo pick
- 20 Sept · 11:00Incheon United1-1Daejeon CitizenNo pick
- 20 Sept · 8:30Jeonbuk Motors2-2Gwangju FCHome Win✗
- 20 Sept · 8:30Gangwon FC0-1Jeju United FCNo pick
- 19 Sept · 11:00FC Anyang2-1Ulsan Hyundai FCNo pick
- 19 Sept · 8:30Bucheon FC 19950-2Gimcheon Sangmu FCNo pick
- 13 Sept · 11:00Gwangju FC1-1FC AnyangNo pick
- 13 Sept · 8:30Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-2Gangwon FCNo pick
- 12 Sept · 11:00Daejeon Citizen2-2Pohang SteelersNo pick
About K League 1
K League 1 is the top flight of South Korea football with 12 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.44 goals per game over 180 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 45% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 30% with 34% drawn. FC Seoul lead the table on 62 points from 30 games.
How the model handles K League 1
Every K League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 8 K League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 60.7% on average and landing 62.5%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these K League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the K League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which K League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled K League 1 tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are K League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter K League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.