Premier Soccer League predictions
South Africa · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Premier Soccer League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Premier Soccer League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Premier Soccer League fixtures
No Premier Soccer League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Orlando Pirates | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | +15 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Amazulu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Kaizer Chiefs | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Milford FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Sekhukhune United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Stellenbosch | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Golden Arrows | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Chippa United | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Durban City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 |  TS Galaxy | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Kruger United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Richards Bay | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 | |
| 15 |  Siwelele | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Marumo Gallants | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
Official Premier Soccer League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's Premier Soccer League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 66.0% | 100.0% | +34.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 12 | 83.9% | 100.0% | +16.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 2 | 57.1% | 50.0% | -7.1 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 2 | 80.2% | 100.0% | +19.8 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 58.7% | 50.0% | -8.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Premier Soccer League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Premier Soccer League results
- 20 Sept · 16:30TS Galaxy0-1Chippa UnitedNo pick
- 20 Sept · 14:00Marumo Gallants0-2Orlando PiratesAway or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 14:00Milford FC1-1Durban CityNo pick
- 20 Sept · 14:00Golden Arrows0-0Kaizer ChiefsNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:00Kruger United0-1StellenboschNo pick
- 19 Sept · 16:30Polokwane City0-1AmazuluNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:00Richards Bay2-3Sekhukhune UnitedDraw✗
- 17 Sept · 18:30Orlando Pirates2-0Durban CityHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 16:30TS Galaxy0-1Kruger UnitedNo pick
- 13 Sept · 14:00Siwelele1-1Golden ArrowsNo pick
About Premier Soccer League
Premier Soccer League is the top flight of South Africa football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.28 goals per game over 57 matches: both teams scored in 46%, 33% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 32% with 40% drawn. Mamelodi Sundowns lead the table on 20 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Premier Soccer League
Every Premier Soccer League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 25 Premier Soccer League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.4% on average and landing 92.0%. Its best-calibrated Premier Soccer League market so far is home or draw (83.9% claimed against 100.0% hit over 12 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Premier Soccer League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Premier Soccer League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Premier Soccer League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Premier Soccer League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.9% claimed against 100.0% hit over 12 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Premier Soccer League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Premier Soccer League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.