1. SNL predictions
Slovenia · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. SNL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. SNL in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. SNL fixtures
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maribor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Koper | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Bravo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Olimpija Ljubljana | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Aluminij | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Nafta | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Celje | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Brinje-Grosuplje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Mura | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Radomlje | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
- Qualifying
- Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official 1. SNL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. SNL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 66.8% | 0.0% | -66.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 82.9% | 100.0% | +17.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 3 | 55.3% | 33.3% | -22.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 3 | 78.6% | 66.7% | -11.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 6 | 58.9% | 66.7% | +7.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 1. SNL matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. SNL results
- 20 Sept · 19:15Brinje-Grosuplje2-1RadomljeNo pick
- 20 Sept · 16:30Mura0-0CeljeNo pick
- 20 Sept · 14:00Bravo2-1Olimpija LjubljanaNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:15Maribor2-2AluminijHome Win✗
- 19 Sept · 16:30Koper2-0NaftaNo pick
- 13 Sept · 19:15Radomlje0-3MariborAway or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 14:00Mura1-6AluminijNo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:15Bravo2-1CeljeNo pick
- 12 Sept · 16:30Koper1-3Olimpija LjubljanaNo pick
- 11 Sept · 19:15Brinje-Grosuplje1-2NaftaNo pick
About 1. SNL
1. SNL is the top flight of Slovenia football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.63 goals per game over 49 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 35% with 29% drawn. Maribor lead the table on 20 points from 10 games.
How the model handles 1. SNL
Every 1. SNL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 17 1. SNL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.9% on average and landing 58.8%. Its best-calibrated 1. SNL market so far is over 2.5 (58.9% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. SNL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. SNL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. SNL market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. SNL tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 58.9% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. SNL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. SNL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.