2. Liga predictions
Slovakia · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 29 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Liga fixtures
- 4 Oct · 9:30PetržalkavMalženiceHome or DrawModerate
- 5 Oct · 16:00Liptovský MikulášvŠamorínNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomvLokomotíva ZvolenNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00MFK BytčavHumennéNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Považská BystricavTatran PrešovNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 9:30MalženicevInter BratislavaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 9:30Slovan Bratislava IIvLiptovský MikulášNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 9:30Žilina IIvGalantaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00ŠamorínvPetržalkaNo pick yet
2. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Petržalka | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Šamorín | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Považská Bystrica | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Žilina II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Pohronie | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Galanta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 | |
| 7 |  Inter Bratislava | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 15 | |
| 8 |  Tatran Prešov | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 | |
| 9 |  Liptovský Mikuláš | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 13 | |
| 10 |  Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 |  Zlaté Moravce | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Malženice | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Slovan Bratislava II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Humenné | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 |  MFK Bytča | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Lokomotíva Zvolen | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-29.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 10 | 61.9% | 70.0% | +8.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 9 | 81.8% | 88.9% | +7.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 23 | 59.9% | 69.6% | +9.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 2. Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Liga results
- 28 Sept · 16:00Žilina II0-0HumennéHome Win✗
- 27 Sept · 9:30Slovan Bratislava II2-2Tatran PrešovNo pick
- 27 Sept · 9:30Malženice1-2Liptovský MikulášNo pick
- 26 Sept · 17:00Zlaté Moravce0-2PetržalkaNo pick
- 26 Sept · 14:30Šamorín3-1Lokomotíva ZvolenHome or Draw✓
- 26 Sept · 14:30Považská Bystrica4-1MFK BytčaOver 2.5✓
- 26 Sept · 14:30Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1-4GalantaNo pick
- 25 Sept · 15:30Pohronie0-3Inter BratislavaNo pick
- 21 Sept · 16:00Petržalka1-0PohronieHome or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 14:30Galanta2-1Slovan Bratislava IINo pick
About 2. Liga
2. Liga is the second tier of Slovakia football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.79 goals per game over 80 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 19% drawn. Petržalka lead the table on 27 points from 10 games.
How the model handles 2. Liga
Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 42 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.1% on average and landing 73.8%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is home or draw (81.8% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 81.8% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.