Pro League predictions
Saudi Arabia · top flight · 18 teams · table updated 16 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
- 9 Oct · 14:50Al KholoodvAl-Qadisiyah FCNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 15:55Al-FatehvAl-Ahli JeddahNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 19:00Al-NassrvAl DiriyahNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:50Al-HazmvNEOMNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 15:55Al-EttifaqvAl Khaleej SaihatNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 19:00Al-Hilal Saudi FCvAl-Ittihad FCNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:40Al-FayhavAl RiyadhNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 16:25AbhavAl-Faisaly FCNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 19:00Al ShababvAl TaawonNo pick yet
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 |  NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 15 |  Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-16.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 69.6% | 76.9% | +7.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 86.5% | 92.9% | +6.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 11 | 64.0% | 63.6% | -0.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 11 | 81.4% | 81.8% | +0.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 62.0% | 70.6% | +8.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 13 Sept · 19:00Al Riyadh2-0Al KholoodNo pick
- 13 Sept · 19:00Al Diriyah0-0AbhaHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 17:20NEOM4-2Al-FatehNo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:00Al Shabab0-0Al-FayhaNo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:00Al Khaleej Saihat1-1Al-NassrAway or Draw✓
- 12 Sept · 16:50Al Taawon0-6Al-Hilal Saudi FCAway or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 19:00Al-Ahli Jeddah3-1Al-HazmHome or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 16:45Al-Faisaly FC1-3Al-Ittihad FCAway or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 16:25Al-Qadisiyah FC3-3Al-EttifaqHome or Draw✓
- 9 Sept · 19:00Al-Nassr2-1AbhaHome or Draw✓
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of Saudi Arabia football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.76 goals per game over 63 matches: both teams scored in 49%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 30% drawn. Al-Hilal Saudi FC lead the table on 18 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 66 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.3% on average and landing 77.3%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is away or draw (81.4% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 81.4% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.