Liga Panameña de Fútbol predictions
Panama · top flight · table updated 30 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga Panameña de Fútbol match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga Panameña de Fútbol in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixtures
- 4 Oct · 22:00HerreravAlianza FCNo pick yet
- 5 Oct · 0:15Independiente de La ChorreravCD Arabe UnidoNo pick yet
- 6 Oct · 2:00Sporting San MiguelitovUnion CocleNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 2:30San Francisco FCvDeportivo UniversitarioNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 0:15Independiente de La ChorreravVeraguasNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 2:30Plaza AmadorvCD Arabe UnidoNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 22:00Union CoclevHerreraNo pick yet
Liga Panameña de Fútbol table
Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Alianza FC | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 27 | |
| 3 |  UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 25 | |
| 4 |  Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 23 | |
| 6 |  Tauro FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 |  CD Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Independiente de La Chorrera | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 |  San Francisco FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 8 |
Apertura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 | |
| 2 | CD Arabe Unido | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 21 | |
| 3 | San Francisco FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 20 | |
| 4 | Veraguas | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 | |
| 5 | Tauro FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | UMECIT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | Deportivo Universitario | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 | |
| 10 | Sporting San Miguelito | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | Union Cocle | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 | |
| 12 | Herrera | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 5 |
Official Liga Panameña de Fútbol table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-30.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga Panameña de Fútbol record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 63.0% | 50.0% | -13.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 7 | 82.4% | 100.0% | +17.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 0.0% | -58.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga Panameña de Fútbol results
- 29 Sept · 2:00Alianza FC2-0Independiente de La ChorreraNo pick
- 28 Sept · 0:15Veraguas1-1Sporting San MiguelitoDraw✓
- 27 Sept · 22:00Union Cocle1-2Plaza AmadorNo pick
- 27 Sept · 2:30Tauro FC1-3San Francisco FCNo pick
- 27 Sept · 0:15Deportivo Universitario2-1UMECITNo pick
- 26 Sept · 2:30CD Arabe Unido2-1HerreraHome or Draw✓
- 22 Sept · 2:00UMECIT1-0Union CocleNo pick
- 21 Sept · 0:15Independiente de La Chorrera4-3Sporting San MiguelitoNo pick
- 20 Sept · 22:00Herrera0-6Tauro FCNo pick
- 20 Sept · 2:30Plaza Amador1-1VeraguasHome or Draw✓
About Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Liga Panameña de Fútbol is the top flight of Panama football played across 2 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.64 goals per game over 163 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 37% drawn. The table is published as Clausura, Apertura.
How the model handles Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Every Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 12 Liga Panameña de Fútbol tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.0% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Liga Panameña de Fútbol market so far is home or draw (82.4% claimed against 100.0% hit over 7 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga Panameña de Fútbol predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga Panameña de Fútbol table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga Panameña de Fútbol market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga Panameña de Fútbol tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.4% claimed against 100.0% hit over 7 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga Panameña de Fútbol fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga Panameña de Fútbol by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.