Premier League predictions
Jamaica · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Premier League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Premier League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Premier League fixtures
- 4 Oct · 21:30Montego Bay UnitedvDunbeholdenNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 21:30Tru-JuicevTivoli GardensNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 21:30Treasure BeachvHumble LionsNo pick yet
- 4 Oct · 23:00Molynes UnitedvRacing UnitedNo pick yet
- 5 Oct · 1:30Mount Pleasant AcademyvCavalierNo pick yet
- 5 Oct · 23:05ChapeltonvWaterhouseAway or DrawModerate
- 6 Oct · 2:00Arnett GardensvPortmore UnitedNo pick yet
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tru-Juice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 2 |  Montego Bay United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 7 | |
| 3 |  Waterhouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 6 | |
| 4 |  Cavalier | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Racing United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Tivoli Gardens | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 | |
| 7 |  Chapelton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 8 |  Portmore United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Arnett Gardens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Molynes United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Mount Pleasant Academy | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Treasure Beach | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Dunbeholden | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Humble Lions | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 |
- Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
- Relegation
Official Premier League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's Premier League record
Not enough settled Premier League tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Premier League results
- 28 Sept · 2:05Waterhouse2-0Treasure BeachNo pick
- 27 Sept · 23:05Racing United0-1Montego Bay UnitedNo pick
- 27 Sept · 21:30Tivoli Gardens1-1ChapeltonDraw✓
- 27 Sept · 21:30Portmore United4-1Humble LionsNo pick
- 27 Sept · 21:30Molynes United0-1Tru-JuiceNo pick
- 27 Sept · 21:30Dunbeholden0-2Mount Pleasant AcademyOver 2.5✗
- 27 Sept · 21:30Cavalier3-2Arnett GardensNo pick
- 22 Sept · 2:00Arnett Gardens3-0DunbeholdenNo pick
- 21 Sept · 23:05Humble Lions0-5WaterhouseAway or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 21:30Treasure Beach1-1Tivoli GardensNo pick
About Premier League
Premier League is the top flight of Jamaica football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.84 goals per game over 19 matches: both teams scored in 42%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 53% with 16% drawn. Tru-Juice lead the table on 7 points from 3 games.
How the model handles Premier League
Every Premier League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Premier League tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Premier League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Premier League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Premier League market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Premier League tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Premier League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Premier League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.