Super League 1 predictions
Greece · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 24 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League 1 fixtures
- 10 Oct · 16:00AEK Athens FCvOFINo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00Aris ThessalonikisvVolos NFCNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00Asteras TripolisvAtromitosNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00Iraklis 1908vLevadiakosNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00KifisiavPanetolikosNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00Olympiakos PiraeusvPanathinaikosNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00PAOKvKalamataNo pick yet
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 15 | |
| 2 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 11 | |
| 4 |  OFI | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Panetolikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Iraklis 1908 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Kifisia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 10 |  Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | |
| 11 |  Atromitos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | |
| 12 |  Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | |
| 13 |  Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 | |
| 14 |  Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
- Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
- Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
- Super League (Relegation Group)
Official Super League 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 64.3% | 85.7% | +21.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 8 | 83.8% | 87.5% | +3.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 8 | 58.2% | 62.5% | +4.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 8 | 81.0% | 100.0% | +19.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 100.0% | +41.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super League 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League 1 results
- 20 Sept · 19:00Panetolikos1-3PAOKAway or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 17:30Kalamata0-1PanathinaikosNo pick
- 20 Sept · 17:00OFI2-2Asteras TripolisHome or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 16:00Volos NFC1-2AEK Athens FCAway or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 15:00Levadiakos0-1Olympiakos PiraeusAway or Draw✓
- 19 Sept · 17:30Aris Thessalonikis0-0Iraklis 1908No pick
- 19 Sept · 17:00Atromitos1-2KifisiaNo pick
- 13 Sept · 19:30Panathinaikos3-0PanetolikosHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 19:00PAOK2-0Aris ThessalonikisNo pick
- 13 Sept · 19:00Kifisia0-0LevadiakosNo pick
About Super League 1
Super League 1 is the top flight of Greece football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.51 goals per game over 35 matches: both teams scored in 49%, 43% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 40% with 26% drawn. Panathinaikos lead the table on 15 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Super League 1
Every Super League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 32 Super League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.6% on average and landing 84.4%. Its best-calibrated Super League 1 market so far is home or draw (83.8% claimed against 87.5% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League 1 tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.8% claimed against 87.5% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.