Meistaradeildin predictions
Faroe Islands · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 23 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Meistaradeildin match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Meistaradeildin in the Bet Finder.
This week's Meistaradeildin fixtures
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NSI Runavik | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 26 | +21 | 48 | |
| 2 |  KI Klaksvik | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 45 | 21 | +24 | 45 | |
| 3 |  HB Torshavn | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 28 | +16 | 41 | |
| 4 |  Vikingur Gota | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 34 | 27 | +7 | 35 | |
| 5 |  B36 Torshavn | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 35 | |
| 6 |  EB / Streymur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 26 | |
| 7 |  AB | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 24 | |
| 8 |  Skála | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 23 | |
| 9 |  07 Vestur | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 19 | |
| 10 |  B68 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 17 |
- Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
- Relegation - 1. Deild
Official Meistaradeildin table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-23.
This season in numbers
The model's Meistaradeildin record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 14 | 71.4% | 64.3% | -7.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 86.6% | 100.0% | +13.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 7 | 62.8% | 57.1% | -5.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 6 | 81.4% | 83.3% | +1.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 24 | 64.6% | 66.7% | +2.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Meistaradeildin matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Meistaradeildin results
- 19 Sept · 15:30B682-3EB / StreymurNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:30HB Torshavn4-1ABHome or Draw✓
- 19 Sept · 15:00Vikingur Gota3-307 VesturOver 2.5✓
- 18 Sept · 18:30KI Klaksvik2-2SkálaHome or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 18:30B36 Torshavn1-2NSI RunavikOver 2.5✓
- 13 Sept · 18:30Skála2-2HB TorshavnAway or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 18:30AB1-1B68No pick
- 13 Sept · 17:15NSI Runavik1-1Vikingur GotaNo pick
- 13 Sept · 17:1507 Vestur0-1KI KlaksvikAway or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 15:00EB / Streymur2-1B36 TorshavnOver 2.5✓
About Meistaradeildin
Meistaradeildin is the top flight of Faroe Islands football with 10 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.90 goals per game over 115 matches: both teams scored in 58%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 42% with 28% drawn. NSI Runavik lead the table on 48 points from 23 games.
How the model handles Meistaradeildin
Every Meistaradeildin fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 65 Meistaradeildin tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.2% on average and landing 73.9%. Its best-calibrated Meistaradeildin market so far is away or draw (81.4% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Meistaradeildin predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Meistaradeildin table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Meistaradeildin market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Meistaradeildin tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 81.4% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Meistaradeildin fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Meistaradeildin by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.