Czech Liga predictions
Czech Republic · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 22 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Czech Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Czech Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Czech Liga fixtures
- 9 Oct · 17:00ZlinvSlavia PrahaNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Zbrojovka BrnovFK JablonecNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00Hradec KrálovévArtisNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 14:00PlzenvMlada BoleslavNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 17:00Bohemians 1905vBaník OstravaNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:00Slovan LiberecvSlováckoNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 14:00TeplicevSigma OlomoucNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 17:00Sparta PrahavPardubiceNo pick yet
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 23 | |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Teplice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 16 | |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 | |
| 7 |  Sparta Praha | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 15 | |
| 8 |  FK Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 | |
| 9 |  Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Plzen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Baník Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 |  Pardubice | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Artis | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 | |
| 16 |  Zlin | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 1 |
- Play-offs
- Play Offs
- Relegation Play-offs
Official Czech Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-22.
This season in numbers
The model's Czech Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 14 | 68.6% | 64.3% | -4.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 85.9% | 85.7% | -0.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 6 | 56.8% | 66.7% | +9.9 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 6 | 78.1% | 83.3% | +5.2 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 16 | 62.2% | 75.0% | +12.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Czech Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Czech Liga results
- 20 Sept · 17:00Slavia Praha2-1PlzenHome or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 14:00Sigma Olomouc0-3Sparta PrahaNo pick
- 20 Sept · 14:00FK Jablonec1-1ZlinHome or Draw✓
- 20 Sept · 12:00Hradec Králové0-2TepliceNo pick
- 19 Sept · 17:00Slovácko2-2Baník OstravaNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:00Mlada Boleslav2-0Zbrojovka BrnoNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:00Artis0-0Slovan LiberecNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:00Pardubice2-1Bohemians 1905No pick
- 13 Sept · 17:00Teplice0-2Slavia PrahaAway or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 14:00Zlin1-2Hradec KrálovéNo pick
About Czech Liga
Czech Liga is the top flight of Czech Republic football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.83 goals per game over 71 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 45% with 21% drawn. Slavia Praha lead the table on 23 points from 9 games.
How the model handles Czech Liga
Every Czech Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 56 Czech Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.9% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Czech Liga market so far is home or draw (85.9% claimed against 85.7% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Czech Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Czech Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Czech Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Czech Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 85.9% claimed against 85.7% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Czech Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Czech Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.