League One predictions
China · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 1 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every League One match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter League One in the Bet Finder.
This week's League One fixtures
- 6 Oct · 12:00Changchun YataivYanbian LongdingNo pick yet
- 6 Oct · 12:00Wuxi WugouvSuzhou DongwuDrawModerate
- 6 Oct · 12:30Heilongjiang Lava SpringvMeizhou KejiaNo pick yet
- 6 Oct · 12:30Hebei KungfuvDalian HuayiNo pick yet
- 6 Oct · 12:30Nantong ZhiyunvNingbo ProfessionalNo pick yet
- 7 Oct · 12:00Shenzhen JuniorsvGuangzhou E-PowerNo pick yet
- 7 Oct · 12:30Dongguan UnitedvGuangxi HengchenNo pick yet
- 7 Oct · 12:30Nanjing CityvShaanxi UnionNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:00Dalian HuayivChangchun YataiNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:00Suzhou DongwuvHebei KungfuNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 12:30Meizhou KejiavWuxi WugouNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 8:00Yanbian LongdingvNantong ZhiyunNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:00Shaanxi UnionvDongguan UnitedNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:00Guangxi HengchenvShenzhen JuniorsNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:00Ningbo ProfessionalvNanjing CityNo pick yet
- 11 Oct · 12:30Guangzhou E-PowervHeilongjiang Lava SpringNo pick yet
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangzhou E-Power | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 54 | |
| 2 |  Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 45 | |
| 3 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 44 | |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 20 | +13 | 42 | |
| 5 |  Shaanxi Union | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 36 | |
| 6 |  Yanbian Longding | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 35 | |
| 7 |  Wuxi Wugou | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 32 | |
| 8 |  Hebei Kungfu | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 31 | |
| 9 |  Changchun Yatai | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 29(-4) | |
| 10 |  Ningbo Professional | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29(-3) | |
| 11 |  Dalian Huayi | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 29 | |
| 12 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26(-3) | |
| 13 |  Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 23 | |
| 14 |  Nanjing City | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 21 | |
| 15 |  Meizhou Kejia | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 15(-9) | |
| 16 |  Dongguan United | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 13 |
- Promotion
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official League One table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Changchun Yatai, Ningbo Professional, Suzhou Dongwu, Meizhou Kejia · updated 2026-10-01.
This season in numbers
The model's League One record
Not enough settled League One tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent League One results
- 29 Sept · 12:00Wuxi Wugou1-0Ningbo ProfessionalNo pick
- 27 Sept · 12:00Shaanxi Union3-0Dalian HuayiNo pick
- 26 Sept · 12:30Nantong Zhiyun2-0Changchun YataiNo pick
- 25 Sept · 12:00Wuxi Wugou0-1Guangxi HengchenAway or Draw✓
- 19 Sept · 12:30Nanjing City0-3Wuxi WugouNo pick
- 19 Sept · 12:30Meizhou Kejia1-3Hebei KungfuNo pick
- 19 Sept · 12:30Heilongjiang Lava Spring1-1Dongguan UnitedNo pick
- 19 Sept · 12:00Shenzhen Juniors1-1Changchun YataiNo pick
- 19 Sept · 12:00Shaanxi Union2-2Suzhou DongwuNo pick
- 18 Sept · 12:30Nantong Zhiyun0-1Guangxi HengchenNo pick
About League One
League One is the second tier of China football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.68 goals per game over 192 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 52% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 28% drawn. Guangzhou E-Power lead the table on 54 points from 24 games. Changchun Yatai (-4), Ningbo Professional (-3), Suzhou Dongwu (-3), Meizhou Kejia (-9) have had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles League One
Every League One fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled League One tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these League One predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the League One table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which League One market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled League One tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are League One fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter League One by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.