Premyer Liqa predictions
Azerbaijan · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 23 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Premyer Liqa match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Premyer Liqa in the Bet Finder.
This week's Premyer Liqa fixtures
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Sabah FA | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 | |
| 7 |  Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 | |
| 9 |  Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 10 |  Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | |
| 12 |  Araz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
- Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
- Premier League (Relegation)
- Relegation - I Liqa
Official Premyer Liqa table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-23.
This season in numbers
The model's Premyer Liqa record
Not enough settled Premyer Liqa tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Premyer Liqa results
- 20 Sept · 16:00Kapaz1-1SumqayıtNo pick
- 20 Sept · 13:30Şamaxı FK2-1ArazNo pick
- 19 Sept · 16:45Sabah FA3-1Imisli FKNo pick
- 19 Sept · 14:30Turan1-0ZiraNo pick
- 18 Sept · 16:45Qarabag1-0Safa BakuNo pick
- 18 Sept · 14:30Qabala0-3Neftchi BakuNo pick
- 14 Sept · 16:00Safa Baku0-3Sabah FANo pick
- 13 Sept · 16:00Zira1-1QarabagNo pick
- 13 Sept · 13:30Araz2-2TuranNo pick
- 12 Sept · 16:45Sumqayıt1-1Şamaxı FKNo pick
About Premyer Liqa
Premyer Liqa is the top flight of Azerbaijan football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.50 goals per game over 34 matches: both teams scored in 44%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 53% with 21% drawn. Neftchi Baku lead the table on 15 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Premyer Liqa
Every Premyer Liqa fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Premyer Liqa tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Premyer Liqa predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Premyer Liqa table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Premyer Liqa market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Premyer Liqa tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Premyer Liqa fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Premyer Liqa by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.