Ligue 1 predictions
Algeria · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 24 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Ligue 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Ligue 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Ligue 1 fixtures
- 6 Oct · 19:00JS KabylievMC AlgerNo pick yet
- 6 Oct · 19:00JS SaouravKhenchelaHome or DrawModerate
- 7 Oct · 18:00Ben AknounvJS El BiarNo pick yet
- 7 Oct · 18:00CS ConstantinevUS BiskraHome or DrawSolid
- 7 Oct · 20:00CR BelouizdadvKhenchelaHome or DrawModerate
- 8 Oct · 18:00MB RouissetvUSM AlgerNo pick yet
- 8 Oct · 18:00JS SaouravOlympique AkbouHome or DrawModerate
- 8 Oct · 20:00MC OranvES SetifNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 18:00JS KabylievASO ChlefNo pick yet
- 9 Oct · 20:00MC AlgervTémouchentHome or DrawModerate
- 10 Oct · 16:00ASO ChlefvMB RouissetNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00US BiskravMC AlgerNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00JS El BiarvMC OranNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00ES SetifvTémouchentNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00KhenchelavJS KabylieNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00Olympique AkbouvCS ConstantineNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00JS SaouravBen AknounNo pick yet
- 10 Oct · 16:00USM AlgervCR BelouizdadNo pick yet
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  USM Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 2 |  CR Belouizdad | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 3 |  MC Oran | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 |  Ben Aknoun | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 | |
| 5 |  CS Constantine | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 6 |  Témouchent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 7 |  ES Setif | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 3 | |
| 8 |  MC Alger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 |  JS El Biar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 10 |  JS Kabylie | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Olympique Akbou | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 12 |  MB Rouisset | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 13 |  Khenchela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 |  US Biskra | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | |
| 15 |  ASO Chlef | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | |
| 16 |  JS Saoura | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
- Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
- Relegation - Ligue 2
Official Ligue 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Ligue 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 61.0% | 66.7% | +5.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 82.4% | 66.7% | -15.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Ligue 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Ligue 1 results
- 22 Sept · 17:00US Biskra0-0JS SaouraNo pick
- 19 Sept · 19:00ES Setif5-1CS ConstantineNo pick
- 19 Sept · 16:00Olympique Akbou2-3USM AlgerHome or Draw✗
- 18 Sept · 21:00ASO Chlef0-1MC OranHome or Draw✗
- 18 Sept · 19:00MC Alger2-0MB RouissetNo pick
- 18 Sept · 16:00Khenchela1-1Ben AknounNo pick
- 18 Sept · 16:00JS El Biar4-0JS SaouraNo pick
- 17 Sept · 20:00Témouchent1-0JS KabylieNo pick
- 17 Sept · 18:00US Biskra0-1CR BelouizdadNo pick
- 12 Sept · 21:00CS Constantine3-0ASO ChlefHome or Draw✓
About Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is the top flight of Algeria football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.29 goals per game over 21 matches: both teams scored in 29%, 29% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 29% drawn. USM Alger lead the table on 7 points from 3 games.
How the model handles Ligue 1
Every Ligue 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 9 Ligue 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 75.3% on average and landing 66.7%. Its best-calibrated Ligue 1 market so far is home or draw (82.4% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Ligue 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Ligue 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Ligue 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Ligue 1 tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.4% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Ligue 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Ligue 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.