Superliga predictions
Albania · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 24 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Superliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Superliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Superliga fixtures
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teuta Durrës | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 13 | |
| 2 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 | |
| 3 |  Dinamo Tirana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Laci | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 5 |  AF Elbasani | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Tirana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 | |
| 7 |  Partizani | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | |
| 8 |  Vora | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | |
| 9 |  Skenderbeu Korce | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | |
| 10 |  Vllaznia Shkodër | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
- Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
- Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)
Official Superliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Superliga record
Not enough settled Superliga tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Superliga results
- 20 Sept · 17:30Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-1PartizaniNo pick
- 20 Sept · 15:00Tirana2-2AF ElbasaniNo pick
- 19 Sept · 17:30Dinamo Tirana3-1LaciNo pick
- 19 Sept · 15:00Vora1-1Skenderbeu KorceHome or Draw✓
- 18 Sept · 17:30Vllaznia Shkodër0-2Teuta DurrësNo pick
- 13 Sept · 17:30AF Elbasani2-1Egnatia RrogozhinëNo pick
- 13 Sept · 15:00Laci2-0Vllaznia ShkodërNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:30Teuta Durrës2-0VoraNo pick
- 12 Sept · 15:00Partizani2-4Dinamo TiranaNo pick
- 11 Sept · 17:30Skenderbeu Korce1-1TiranaAway or Draw✓
About Superliga
Superliga is the top flight of Albania football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.92 goals per game over 25 matches: both teams scored in 68%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 40% with 28% drawn. Teuta Durrës lead the table on 13 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Superliga
Every Superliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Superliga tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Superliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Superliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Superliga market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Superliga tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Superliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Superliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.