Farnborough vs Uxbridge predictions — FA Cup, 22 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Farnborough have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Uxbridge have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game.