Azerbaijan vs Tajikistan predictions — Friendlies, 23 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Tight matchup, the model sees points likely shared. Azerbaijan have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Tajikistan have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.6 per game.