Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town predictions — EFL Trophy, 22 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Milton Keynes Dons have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Crawley Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.